Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Newells Old Boys v Boca Juniors

Inizio: 2026-08-02 20:00 UTC

Finale: Newells Old Boys 2–2 Boca Juniors

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

38 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Newells Old Boys (Casa)

Previsione 20.08%4.98quota equa
EV +3.20%
Vantaggio +0.622%
Kelly +0.772%
Crescita +0.025%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.14

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.77%20.02%20.12%21.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.304.644.605.1423.26%21.57%21.74%19.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Boca Juniors (Trasferta)

Previsione 50.91%1.96quota equa
EV -4.29%
Vantaggio -2.28%
Kelly -4.88%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.74%50.99%50.89%52.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.721.821.831.8858.14%54.95%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 29.02%3.45quota equa
EV -2.80%
Vantaggio -0.835%
Kelly -1.19%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.28%29.00%28.99%30.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.203.203.3533.33%31.27%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Newells Old Boys (Casa): 20.08%; Boca Juniors (Trasferta): 50.91%; Pareggio: 29.02%. Per Newells Old Boys (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.98. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.14, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.20%.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag🎯5.14I 19.46%NM 18.82%EV +3.20%E +0.622%K +0.772%G +0.025%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.30%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88%EV -2.80%E -0.835%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-02 19:50
BetOnline.ag🎯5.14I 19.46%NM 18.82%EV +3.20%E +0.622%K +0.772%G +0.025%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.30%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88%EV -2.80%E -0.835%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-02 19:50
BetAnything🎯5.14I 19.46%NM 18.82%EV +3.20%E +0.622%K +0.772%G +0.025%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.30%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88%EV -2.80%E -0.835%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-02 19:49
Pinnacle🎯5.14I 19.46%NM 18.77%EV +3.20%E +0.622%K +0.772%G +0.025%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.07%EV -3.67%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 19:50
1xBet🎯5.08I 19.69%NM 18.90%EV +1.99%E +0.392%K +0.488%G +0.010%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.45%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%EV -2.80%E -0.835%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 19:54
NordicBet🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 19.24%EV -0.618%E -0.125%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 19:49
Betsson🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 19.24%EV -0.618%E -0.125%K -0.156%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -3.63%E -0.756%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.66%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 19:50
DraftKings🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -3.63%E -0.756%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 19:40
Bovada🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -3.63%E -0.756%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.57%EV -7.35%E -4.04%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 19:50
FanDuel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -3.63%E -0.756%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -9.89%E -5.59%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -7.15%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 19:49
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.63%E -0.975%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -7.15%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 19:34
Everygame🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -4.63%E -0.975%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.35%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 19:35
Codere (IT)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -5.64%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -7.15%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 19:24
SportsBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.64%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 19:50
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%EV -4.29%E -2.28%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 19:54
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%EV -4.29%E -2.28%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 19:55
theScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.15%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 19:25
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.15%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 19:35
BetMGM🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -8.37%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 19:49
PlayUp🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 19:50
Unibet (FR)🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 19.62%EV -8.65%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.59%EV -11.93%E -6.90%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 19:30
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 19:55
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.91%E -6.24%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-02 19:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.91%E -6.24%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-02 19:49
Marathon Bet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -10.66%E -2.39%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.20%EV -5.31%E -2.86%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.82%EV -5.99%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 19:44
Betclic (FR)🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.07%EV -10.66%E -2.39%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.46%EV -9.89%E -5.59%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.47%EV -12.08%E -3.99%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 19:34
Bet Right🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 19:55
Winamax (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -8.37%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.15%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 19:25
LiveScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -8.37%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 19:55
Virgin Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -8.37%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.40%EV -8.88%E -4.96%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.10%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 19:54
NetBet (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.15%EV -12.44%E -7.23%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%EV -11.50%E -3.77%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-02 19:50
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -13.07%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.15%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 19:35
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -13.07%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.15%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 19:55
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -13.07%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -10.91%E -6.24%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -12.95%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-02 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.05%EV -13.67%E -3.18%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.74%EV -7.35%E -4.04%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 19:54
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -13.67%E -3.18%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.30%EV -9.39%E -5.27%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.88%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-02 19:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-08-02 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.71%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-08-02 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.71%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-08-02 19:55
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.86%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%0.9%2026-08-02 19:55
Kalshi5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45%1.9%2026-08-02 19:50