Langue:Français
Newells Old Boys v Boca Juniors
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Newells Old Boys (Local)
Prévision 20.08%4.98cote équitable
EV +3.20%
Avantage +0.622%
Kelly +0.772%
Croissance +0.025%
avec la cote maximale 5.14
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.77%20.02%20.12%21.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.304.644.605.1423.26%21.57%21.74%19.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Boca Juniors (Visiteur)
Prévision 50.91%1.96cote équitable
EV -4.29%
Avantage -2.28%
Kelly -4.88%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.88
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.74%50.99%50.89%52.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.721.821.831.8858.14%54.95%54.64%53.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 29.02%3.45cote équitable
EV -2.80%
Avantage -0.835%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.28%29.00%28.99%30.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.203.203.3533.33%31.27%31.25%29.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Newells Old Boys (Local) : 20.08% ; Boca Juniors (Visiteur) : 50.91% ; Match nul : 29.02%. Pour Newells Old Boys (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.98. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.14, soit une espérance positive de +3.20%.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.82%EV +3.20%E +0.622%K +0.772%G +0.025% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.30%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88%EV -2.80%E -0.835%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-02 19:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.82%EV +3.20%E +0.622%K +0.772%G +0.025% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.30%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88%EV -2.80%E -0.835%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-02 19:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.82%EV +3.20%E +0.622%K +0.772%G +0.025% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.30%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88%EV -2.80%E -0.835%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-02 19:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.77%EV +3.20%E +0.622%K +0.772%G +0.025% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.07%EV -3.67%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-02 19:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.08I 19.69%NM 18.90%EV +1.99%E +0.392%K +0.488%G +0.010% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.45%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%EV -2.80%E -0.835%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 19:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.24%EV -0.618%E -0.125%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 19:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.24%EV -0.618%E -0.125%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -3.63%E -0.756%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.66%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 19:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -3.63%E -0.756%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 19:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -3.63%E -0.756%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.57%EV -7.35%E -4.04%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 19:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -3.63%E -0.756%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -9.89%E -5.59%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -7.15%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 19:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.63%E -0.975%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -7.15%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 19:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -4.63%E -0.975%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.35%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 19:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -5.64%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -7.15%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 19:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.64%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 19:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%EV -4.29%E -2.28%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 19:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%EV -4.29%E -2.28%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 19:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.15%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 19:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.15%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 19:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -8.37%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 19:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.62%EV -8.65%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.59%EV -11.93%E -6.90%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-02 19:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 19:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.91%E -6.24%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-02 19:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.91%E -6.24%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-02 19:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -10.66%E -2.39%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.20%EV -5.31%E -2.86%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.82%EV -5.99%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 19:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.07%EV -10.66%E -2.39%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.46%EV -9.89%E -5.59%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.47%EV -12.08%E -3.99%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-02 19:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 19:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -8.37%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.15%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-02 19:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -8.37%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-02 19:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -8.37%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-02 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.40%EV -8.88%E -4.96%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.10%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-02 19:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.15%EV -12.44%E -7.23%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%EV -11.50%E -3.77%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-02 19:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -13.07%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.15%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 19:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -13.07%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.15%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 19:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -13.07%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -10.91%E -6.24%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -12.95%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-02 19:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.05%EV -13.67%E -3.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.74%EV -7.35%E -4.04%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-02 19:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -13.67%E -3.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.30%EV -9.39%E -5.27%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.88%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-02 19:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.71% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.71% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.86% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 0.9% | 2026-08-02 19:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.93% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45% | 1.9% | 2026-08-02 19:50 |