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Newells Old Boys v Boca Juniors
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Newells Old Boys (Local)
Predicción 20.08%4.98momio equitativo
EV +3.20%
Ventaja +0.622%
Kelly +0.772%
Crecimiento +0.025%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.77%20.02%20.12%21.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.304.644.605.1423.26%21.57%21.74%19.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Boca Juniors (Visitante)
Predicción 50.91%1.96momio equitativo
EV -4.29%
Ventaja -2.28%
Kelly -4.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.74%50.99%50.89%52.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.721.821.831.8858.14%54.95%54.64%53.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.02%3.45momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -0.835%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.28%29.00%28.99%30.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.203.203.3533.33%31.27%31.25%29.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Newells Old Boys (Local): 20.08%; Boca Juniors (Visitante): 50.91%; Empate: 29.02%. Para Newells Old Boys (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.98. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.14, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.20%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.82%EV +3.20%E +0.622%K +0.772%G +0.025% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.30%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88%EV -2.80%E -0.835%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-02 19:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.82%EV +3.20%E +0.622%K +0.772%G +0.025% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.30%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88%EV -2.80%E -0.835%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-02 19:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.82%EV +3.20%E +0.622%K +0.772%G +0.025% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.30%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88%EV -2.80%E -0.835%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-02 19:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.77%EV +3.20%E +0.622%K +0.772%G +0.025% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.07%EV -3.67%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-02 19:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.08I 19.69%NM 18.90%EV +1.99%E +0.392%K +0.488%G +0.010% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.45%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%EV -2.80%E -0.835%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 19:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.24%EV -0.618%E -0.125%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 19:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.24%EV -0.618%E -0.125%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -3.63%E -0.756%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.66%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 19:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -3.63%E -0.756%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.43%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 19:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -3.63%E -0.756%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.57%EV -7.35%E -4.04%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 19:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -3.63%E -0.756%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -9.89%E -5.59%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -7.15%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 19:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.63%E -0.975%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -7.15%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 19:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -4.63%E -0.975%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.35%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 19:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -5.64%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -7.15%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 19:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.64%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.22%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 19:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%EV -4.29%E -2.28%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 19:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%EV -4.29%E -2.28%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 19:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.15%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 19:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.82%E -3.15%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.15%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 19:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -8.37%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 19:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -7.64%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 19:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.62%EV -8.65%E -1.90%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.59%EV -11.93%E -6.90%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-02 19:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 19:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.91%E -6.24%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-02 19:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -9.65%E -2.14%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.91%E -6.24%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-02 19:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -10.66%E -2.39%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.20%EV -5.31%E -2.86%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.82%EV -5.99%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 19:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.07%EV -10.66%E -2.39%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.46%EV -9.89%E -5.59%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.47%EV -12.08%E -3.99%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-02 19:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 19:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -8.37%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -7.15%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-02 19:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -8.37%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-02 19:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -8.37%E -4.65%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -8.60%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-02 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.40%EV -8.88%E -4.96%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.10%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-02 19:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -11.66%E -2.65%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.15%EV -12.44%E -7.23%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%EV -11.50%E -3.77%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-02 19:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -13.07%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.15%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 19:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -13.07%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -6.84%E -3.74%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.15%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 19:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -13.07%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -10.91%E -6.24%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -12.95%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-02 19:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.05%EV -13.67%E -3.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.74%EV -7.35%E -4.04%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-02 19:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -13.67%E -3.18%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.30%EV -9.39%E -5.27%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.88%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-02 19:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.71% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.71% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.86% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 0.9% | 2026-08-02 19:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.93% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45% | 1.9% | 2026-08-02 19:50 |