Language:English
Lanus v San Lorenzo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lanus (Local)
Prediction 46.74%2.14fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -2.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.44%46.75%46.71%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.972.002.0854.64%50.65%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Lorenzo (Visit)
Prediction 20.26%4.94fair odd
EV +4.12%
Edge +0.801%
Kelly +0.995%
Growth +0.041%
assuming max odds 5.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.79%20.29%20.17%22.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.584.505.1425.00%21.83%22.22%19.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 33.01%3.03fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -0.891%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.93%32.96%33.12%34.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.672.832.852.9537.45%35.38%35.09%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lanus (Local): 46.74%; San Lorenzo (Visit): 20.26%; Draw: 33.01%. For San Lorenzo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.94. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.14, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.33%EV -4.66%E -2.28%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.79%EV +4.12%E +0.801%K +0.995%G +0.041% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.88%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-26 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.82%EV -5.59%E -2.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.87%EV +3.71%E +0.725%K +0.901%G +0.033% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.31%EV -4.28%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-26 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.82%EV -5.59%E -2.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.87%EV +3.71%E +0.725%K +0.901%G +0.033% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.31%EV -4.28%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-26 00:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.82%EV -5.59%E -2.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.87%EV +3.71%E +0.725%K +0.901%G +0.033% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.31%EV -4.28%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-26 00:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV +1.28%E +0.256%K +0.320%G +0.004% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -9.23%E -3.36%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-26 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.70%EV -9.33%E -4.81%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -0.744%E -0.152%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -2.63%E -0.891%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-26 00:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.83%EV -9.80%E -5.08%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -0.744%E -0.152%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -2.63%E -0.891%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-26 00:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.83%EV -9.80%E -5.08%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -0.744%E -0.152%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -2.63%E -0.891%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-26 00:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.32%EV -5.12%E -2.52%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV -2.77%E -0.577%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.67%EV -2.96%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-26 00:21 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.20%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -2.77%E -0.577%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.13%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-26 00:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -3.78%E -0.796%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-26 00:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.01%EV -8.86%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -3.78%E -0.796%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.28%EV -4.28%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 23:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.96%EV -6.99%E -3.51%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -3.78%E -0.796%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.37%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 00:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.92%EV -13.07%E -7.03%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -3.78%E -0.796%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-26 00:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.92%EV -13.07%E -7.03%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -3.78%E -0.796%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-26 00:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.12%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -4.80%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.77%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 00:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.44%EV -6.06%E -3.01%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -4.80%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.70%EV -8.57%E -3.09%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 00:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.95%EV -14.47%E -7.91%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -4.80%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-26 00:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.98%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-26 00:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.10%EV -4.66%E -2.28%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 00:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.54%EV -5.27%E -1.84%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 00:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.32%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-26 00:23 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.32%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -8.86%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.94%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-21 23:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.91%EV -10.73%E -5.62%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.18%EV -10.88%E -4.03%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-26 00:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.91%EV -10.73%E -5.62%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.18%EV -10.88%E -4.03%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-26 00:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.92%EV -12.14%E -6.45%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.05%EV -10.87%E -2.47%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.04%EV -11.87%E -4.45%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-26 00:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.54%EV -10.73%E -5.62%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -12.29%E -2.84%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.93%EV -10.88%E -4.03%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-26 00:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.33%EV -9.80%E -5.08%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.79%EV -12.90%E -3.00%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.87%EV -10.22%E -3.76%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-26 00:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.28%EV -7.46%E -3.77%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -13.91%E -3.27%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.15%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-26 00:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.89%EV -12.60%E -6.74%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.63%EV -13.91%E -3.27%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.48%EV -10.88%E -4.03%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.07%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -14.92%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -4.94%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-23 13:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.16%EV -7.46%E -3.77%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -14.92%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.07%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -8.86%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -14.92%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.98%EV -2.79%E -1.34%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.54%EV -15.94%E -3.84%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -4.94%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.98%EV -2.79%E -1.34%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.54%EV -15.94%E -3.84%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -4.94%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.44%EV -2.79%E -1.34%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -16.95%E -4.13%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.64%EV -10.27%E -5.35%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -18.97%E -4.74%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.45%EV -10.88%E -4.03%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.60% | 0.6% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.60% | 0.6% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.60% | 0.6% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.38% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.32% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.29% | 1.5% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.60% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.35% | 2.0% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
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