The School of Odds

Lanus v San Lorenzo

2026-07-26 00:30 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

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Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Lanus (Local)

Prediction 46.22%2.16fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -3.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.30%46.40%46.29%49.23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.831.992.002.0955%50%50%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

San Lorenzo (Visit)

Prediction 21.13%4.73fair odd
EV +3.54%
Edge +0.722%
Kelly +0.907%
Growth +0.032%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.13%21.08%21.04%22.13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.904.414.404.9026%23%23%20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 32.65%3.06fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -0.685%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.50%32.53%32.67%33.47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.702.872.883.0037%35%35%33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.22%EV -11.25%E -5.86%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +3.54%E +0.722%K +0.907%G +0.032%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -2.06%E -0.685%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 23:55
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.22%EV -11.25%E -5.86%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +3.54%E +0.722%K +0.907%G +0.032%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -2.06%E -0.685%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 23:55
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%EV -11.72%E -6.13%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV +3.54%E +0.722%K +0.907%G +0.032%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -3.69%E -1.25%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 23:55
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -14.49%E -7.83%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV +0.367%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.61%EV -5.97%E -2.07%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 23:55
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -14.49%E -7.83%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV +0.367%E +0.077%K +0.098%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.61%EV -5.97%E -2.07%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -15.41%E -8.42%K -18.57%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.17%EV -0.690%E -0.147%K -0.186%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -6.95%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-24 23:30
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.21%EV -3.40%E -1.63%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.95%EV -2.59%E -0.562%K -0.718%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.85%EV -4.01%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-25 15:50
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.18%EV -3.40%E -1.63%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.98%EV -2.80%E -0.609%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.83%EV -4.01%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-25 15:25
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.18%EV -3.40%E -1.63%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.98%EV -2.80%E -0.609%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.83%EV -4.01%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-25 15:25
BetAnything2.09I 47.85%NM 46.18%EV -3.40%E -1.63%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.98%EV -2.80%E -0.609%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.83%EV -4.01%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-25 15:25
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.07%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -2.80%E -0.609%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -5.32%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 00:35
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.14%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 20.98%EV -4.28%E -0.945%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.89%EV -5.65%E -1.95%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 15:40
Codere (IT)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.98%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -4.92%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -6.95%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-23 23:50
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.98%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -4.92%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -6.95%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-23 23:50
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.71%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -4.92%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -8.58%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 15:29
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -4.92%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.97%E -2.07%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 23:50
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.19%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -5.97%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.85%EV -7.28%E -2.56%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 16:00
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -7.03%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.32%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 23:50
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.89%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -7.03%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -3.69%E -1.25%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 21:55
SportsBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.02%EV -8.02%E -4.03%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -7.03%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.72%EV -3.69%E -1.25%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 21:55
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -7.03%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -6.95%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 15:25
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.76%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -8.51%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.57%EV -5.97%E -2.07%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.71%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.64%EV -8.51%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.65%EV -6.30%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 12:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.51%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -5.32%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 00:30
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -9.14%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.32%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 12:35
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -9.14%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -6.95%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 15:45
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.15%EV -8.94%E -4.54%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -9.14%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.70%EV -9.24%E -3.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 12:34
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.94%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -10.20%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.22%EV -5.97%E -2.07%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 15:50
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.94%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -10.20%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.22%EV -5.97%E -2.07%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 15:50
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%EV -5.25%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -11.25%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -6.95%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 12:35
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 46.07%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.25%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -5.97%E -2.07%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-23 13:10
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 46.55%EV -8.94%E -4.54%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -11.25%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -5.32%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 05:35
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.70%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -11.25%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -5.97%E -2.07%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 21:55
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.38%EV -12.18%E -6.41%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.98%EV -11.25%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.64%EV -11.85%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-25 12:35
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.38%EV -12.18%E -6.41%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.98%EV -11.25%E -2.68%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.64%EV -11.85%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-25 15:54
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -13.37%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.68%EV -6.95%E -2.44%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 00:35
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.17%EV -10.33%E -5.32%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -13.37%E -3.26%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -8.58%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-23 23:49
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.30%EV -11.72%E -6.13%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -15.48%E -3.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -8.58%E -3.07%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-24 21:55
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 45.91%EV -13.10%E -6.97%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.13%EV -17.59%E -4.51%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.96%EV -11.85%E -4.39%K -6.97%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-23 23:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.50%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.69%1.0%2026-07-25 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-07-25 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-07-25 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-07-25 13:40
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.41%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.87%1.4%2026-07-25 15:45