The School of Odds

Lanus v San Lorenzo

2026-07-26 00:30 — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Lanus (Local)

Odds
1.8653.76%Min
2.0049.98%Mean
2.0050.00%Median
2.1546.51%Max
Consensus probabilities
44.21%2.262Min
46.07%2.171Max
45.35%2.205Mean
45.47%2.199Median
45.47%2.199IQM
45.31%2.207Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.15 under the IQM model: 45.47%

EV -2.25%Edge -1.04%Kelly -1.95%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: San Lorenzo (Visit)

Odds
3.7027.03%Min
4.0324.79%Mean
4.1024.39%Median
4.3023.26%Max
Consensus probabilities
21.61%4.627Min
22.99%4.349Max
22.11%4.523Mean
21.99%4.548Median
21.99%4.548IQM
22.12%4.520Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.30 under the IQM model: 21.99%

EV -5.45%Edge -1.27%Kelly -1.65%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
2.6038.46%Min
2.7736.04%Mean
2.8335.34%Median
2.8834.72%Max
Consensus probabilities
31.78%3.147Min
33.00%3.030Max
32.54%3.073Mean
32.54%3.073Median
32.54%3.073IQM
32.56%3.071Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.88 under the IQM model: 32.54%

EV -6.27%Edge -2.18%Kelly -3.34%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLanus (Local) ▼San Lorenzo (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.15I 46.51% NM 44.21%EV -2.25% E -1.04% K -1.95% G +0.000%4.17I 23.98% NM 22.79%EV -8.31% E -1.99% K -2.62% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 33.00%EV -6.27% E -2.18% K -3.34% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 14:40
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39% NM 44.24%EV -4.06% E -1.93% K -3.66% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.77%EV -9.84% E -2.40% K -3.18% G +0.000%2.83I 35.34% NM 32.99%EV -7.90% E -2.79% K -4.32% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 14:35
SportsBet2.08I 48.08% NM 45.06%EV -5.43% E -2.61% K -5.03% G +0.000%4.25I 23.53% NM 22.05%EV -6.55% E -1.54% K -2.01% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 32.89%EV -7.25% E -2.54% K -3.92% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-02 23:24
FanDuel2.05I 48.78% NM 45.30%EV -6.79% E -3.31% K -6.47% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.11%EV -7.65% E -1.82% K -2.39% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 32.59%EV -7.25% E -2.54% K -3.92% G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-02 23:24
Codere (IT)2.03I 49.26% NM 45.78%EV -7.70% E -3.79% K -7.48% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 21.61%EV -5.45% E -1.27% K -1.65% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 32.61%EV -7.25% E -2.54% K -3.92% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-02 22:15
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00% NM 46.07%EV -9.07% E -4.53% K -9.07% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.94%EV -7.65% E -1.82% K -2.39% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 31.99%EV -6.27% E -2.18% K -3.34% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-03 11:45
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00% NM 44.90%EV -9.07% E -4.53% K -9.07% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.45%EV -12.04% E -3.01% K -4.01% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 32.65%EV -10.50% E -3.82% K -6.00% G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-02 23:23
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28% NM 44.22%EV -11.34% E -5.82% K -11.94% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 22.99%EV -17.54% E -4.68% K -6.38% G +0.000%2.63I 38.02% NM 32.79%EV -14.41% E -5.48% K -8.84% G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-02 23:24
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08% NM 45.52%EV -12.70% E -6.62% K -13.81% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 22.70%EV -15.34% E -3.98% K -5.38% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 31.78%EV -10.50% E -3.82% K -6.00% G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-02 23:00
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76% NM 45.49%EV -15.43% E -8.30% K -17.94% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 21.97%EV -15.34% E -3.98% K -5.38% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 32.54%EV -15.39% E -5.92% K -9.62% G +0.000%18.2%2026-07-02 20:59
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76% NM 45.36%EV -15.43% E -8.30% K -17.94% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 22.80%EV -18.64% E -5.04% K -6.90% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 31.84%EV -13.76% E -5.19% K -8.34% G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-02 22:59
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05% NM 45.79%EV -15.89% E -8.59% K -18.69% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 22.00%EV -15.34% E -3.98% K -5.38% G +0.000%2.63I 38.02% NM 32.21%EV -14.41% E -5.48% K -8.84% G +0.000%18.1%2026-07-02 22:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth