L’École des cotesLanus v San Lorenzo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Lanus (Local)
Prévision 46.74%2.14cote équitable
EV -2.79%
Avantage -1.34%
Kelly -2.58%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.08
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.44%46.75%46.71%48.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.972.002.0854.64%50.65%50.00%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
San Lorenzo (Visiteur)
Prévision 20.26%4.94cote équitable
EV +4.12%
Avantage +0.801%
Kelly +0.995%
Croissance +0.041%
avec la cote maximale 5.14
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.79%20.29%20.17%22.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.584.505.1425.00%21.83%22.22%19.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 33.01%3.03cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -0.891%
Kelly -1.35%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.93%32.96%33.12%34.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.672.832.852.9537.45%35.38%35.09%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.33%EV -4.66%E -2.28%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.79%EV +4.12%E +0.801%K +0.995%G +0.041% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.88%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-26 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.82%EV -5.59%E -2.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.87%EV +3.71%E +0.725%K +0.901%G +0.033% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.31%EV -4.28%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-26 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.82%EV -5.59%E -2.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.87%EV +3.71%E +0.725%K +0.901%G +0.033% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.31%EV -4.28%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-26 00:05 |
| BetAnything | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.82%EV -5.59%E -2.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.87%EV +3.71%E +0.725%K +0.901%G +0.033% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.31%EV -4.28%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-26 00:05 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV +1.28%E +0.256%K +0.320%G +0.004% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -9.23%E -3.36%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-26 00:10 |
| Unibet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.70%EV -9.33%E -4.81%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -0.744%E -0.152%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -2.63%E -0.891%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-26 00:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.83%EV -9.80%E -5.08%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -0.744%E -0.152%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -2.63%E -0.891%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-26 00:14 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.83%EV -9.80%E -5.08%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -0.744%E -0.152%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -2.63%E -0.891%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-26 00:14 |
| 1xBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.32%EV -5.12%E -2.52%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV -2.77%E -0.577%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.67%EV -2.96%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-26 00:21 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.20%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -2.77%E -0.577%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.13%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-26 00:14 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -3.78%E -0.796%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-26 00:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.01%EV -8.86%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -3.78%E -0.796%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.28%EV -4.28%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 23:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.96%EV -6.99%E -3.51%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -3.78%E -0.796%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.37%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 00:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.92%EV -13.07%E -7.03%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -3.78%E -0.796%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-26 00:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.92%EV -13.07%E -7.03%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -3.78%E -0.796%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-26 00:14 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.12%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -4.80%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.77%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 00:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.44%EV -6.06%E -3.01%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -4.80%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.70%EV -8.57%E -3.09%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 00:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.95%EV -14.47%E -7.91%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -4.80%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-26 00:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.98%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-26 00:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.10%EV -4.66%E -2.28%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 00:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.54%EV -5.27%E -1.84%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 00:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.32%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-26 00:23 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.32%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -8.86%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.94%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-21 23:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.91%EV -10.73%E -5.62%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.18%EV -10.88%E -4.03%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-26 00:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.91%EV -10.73%E -5.62%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.18%EV -10.88%E -4.03%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-26 00:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.92%EV -12.14%E -6.45%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.05%EV -10.87%E -2.47%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.04%EV -11.87%E -4.45%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-26 00:24 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.54%EV -10.73%E -5.62%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -12.29%E -2.84%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.93%EV -10.88%E -4.03%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-26 00:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.33%EV -9.80%E -5.08%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.79%EV -12.90%E -3.00%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.87%EV -10.22%E -3.76%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-26 00:24 |
| Bet Right | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.28%EV -7.46%E -3.77%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -13.91%E -3.27%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.15%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-26 00:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.89%EV -12.60%E -6.74%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.63%EV -13.91%E -3.27%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.48%EV -10.88%E -4.03%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.07%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -14.92%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -4.94%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-23 13:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.16%EV -7.46%E -3.77%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -14.92%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.07%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -8.86%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -14.92%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.98%EV -2.79%E -1.34%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.54%EV -15.94%E -3.84%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -4.94%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.98%EV -2.79%E -1.34%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.54%EV -15.94%E -3.84%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -4.94%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.44%EV -2.79%E -1.34%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -16.95%E -4.13%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.64%EV -10.27%E -5.35%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -18.97%E -4.74%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.45%EV -10.88%E -4.03%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.60% | 0.6% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.60% | 0.6% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.60% | 0.6% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.38% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.32% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.29% | 1.5% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.60% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.35% | 2.0% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |