La escuela de los momiosLanus v San Lorenzo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lanus (Local)
Predicción 46.74%2.14momio equitativo
EV -2.79%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -2.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.44%46.75%46.71%48.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.972.002.0854.64%50.65%50.00%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
San Lorenzo (Visitante)
Predicción 20.26%4.94momio equitativo
EV +4.12%
Ventaja +0.801%
Kelly +0.995%
Crecimiento +0.041%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.79%20.29%20.17%22.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.584.505.1425.00%21.83%22.22%19.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 33.01%3.03momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -0.891%
Kelly -1.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.93%32.96%33.12%34.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.672.832.852.9537.45%35.38%35.09%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.33%EV -4.66%E -2.28%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.79%EV +4.12%E +0.801%K +0.995%G +0.041% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.88%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-26 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.82%EV -5.59%E -2.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.87%EV +3.71%E +0.725%K +0.901%G +0.033% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.31%EV -4.28%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-26 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.82%EV -5.59%E -2.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.87%EV +3.71%E +0.725%K +0.901%G +0.033% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.31%EV -4.28%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-26 00:05 |
| BetAnything | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.82%EV -5.59%E -2.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.87%EV +3.71%E +0.725%K +0.901%G +0.033% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.31%EV -4.28%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-26 00:05 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV +1.28%E +0.256%K +0.320%G +0.004% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -9.23%E -3.36%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-26 00:10 |
| Unibet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.70%EV -9.33%E -4.81%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -0.744%E -0.152%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -2.63%E -0.891%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-26 00:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.83%EV -9.80%E -5.08%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -0.744%E -0.152%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -2.63%E -0.891%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-26 00:14 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.83%EV -9.80%E -5.08%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -0.744%E -0.152%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -2.63%E -0.891%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-26 00:14 |
| 1xBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.32%EV -5.12%E -2.52%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV -2.77%E -0.577%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.67%EV -2.96%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-26 00:21 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.20%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -2.77%E -0.577%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.13%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-26 00:14 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -3.78%E -0.796%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-26 00:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.01%EV -8.86%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -3.78%E -0.796%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.28%EV -4.28%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 23:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.96%EV -6.99%E -3.51%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -3.78%E -0.796%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.37%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-26 00:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.92%EV -13.07%E -7.03%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -3.78%E -0.796%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-26 00:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.92%EV -13.07%E -7.03%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -3.78%E -0.796%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-26 00:14 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.12%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -4.80%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.77%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 00:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.44%EV -6.06%E -3.01%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -4.80%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.70%EV -8.57%E -3.09%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 00:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.95%EV -14.47%E -7.91%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -4.80%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-26 00:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.98%EV -4.19%E -2.04%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-26 00:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.10%EV -4.66%E -2.28%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-26 00:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.54%EV -5.27%E -1.84%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 00:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.32%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-26 00:23 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.32%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -8.86%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.94%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-21 23:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.91%EV -10.73%E -5.62%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.18%EV -10.88%E -4.03%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-26 00:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.91%EV -10.73%E -5.62%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.18%EV -10.88%E -4.03%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-26 00:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.92%EV -12.14%E -6.45%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.05%EV -10.87%E -2.47%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.04%EV -11.87%E -4.45%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-26 00:24 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.54%EV -10.73%E -5.62%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -12.29%E -2.84%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.93%EV -10.88%E -4.03%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-26 00:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.33%EV -9.80%E -5.08%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.79%EV -12.90%E -3.00%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.87%EV -10.22%E -3.76%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-26 00:24 |
| Bet Right | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.28%EV -7.46%E -3.77%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -13.91%E -3.27%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.15%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-26 00:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.89%EV -12.60%E -6.74%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.63%EV -13.91%E -3.27%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.48%EV -10.88%E -4.03%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.07%EV -6.53%E -3.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -14.92%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.99%EV -4.94%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-23 13:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.16%EV -7.46%E -3.77%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -14.92%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.07%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -8.86%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -14.92%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.98%EV -2.79%E -1.34%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.54%EV -15.94%E -3.84%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -4.94%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.98%EV -2.79%E -1.34%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.54%EV -15.94%E -3.84%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -4.94%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.44%EV -2.79%E -1.34%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -16.95%E -4.13%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.64%EV -10.27%E -5.35%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -18.97%E -4.74%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.45%EV -10.88%E -4.03%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.60% | 0.6% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.60% | 0.6% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.60% | 0.6% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.38% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.32% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.29% | 1.5% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.60% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.35% | 2.0% | 2026-07-26 00:25 |