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預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)
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Lanus v Independiente

開賽時間： 2026-08-17 20:00 UTC

最終賽果： Lanus 1–3 Independiente

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

38 家博彩公司 (17 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Lanus (主隊)

預測 46.15%2.17公平賠率
EV -0.323%
優勢 -0.150%
Kelly -0.278%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.16

博彩公司預測分布
43.22%46.05%46.27%47.59%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.882.022.052.1653.19%49.54%48.78%46.30%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Independiente (客隊)

預測 22.73%4.40公平賠率
EV +1.15%
優勢 +0.258%
Kelly +0.332%
成長率 +0.004%

假設最高賠率為 4.45

博彩公司預測分布
21.43%22.86%22.60%25.94%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.454.014.034.4528.99%24.94%24.84%22.47%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 31.12%3.21公平賠率
EV -2.58%
優勢 -0.825%
Kelly -1.21%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.13

博彩公司預測分布
30.20%31.09%31.13%31.51%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.852.983.003.1335.09%33.50%33.33%31.95%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Lanus (主隊)：46.15%；Independiente (客隊)：22.73%；和局：31.12%。 對於「Independiente (客隊)」，該估計相當於4.40的公平十進位賠率。 當時有4家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為4.45，對應+1.15%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (38 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.17%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.73%EV +1.15%E +0.258%K +0.332%G +0.004%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.10%EV -3.21%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-17 19:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.17%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.73%EV +1.15%E +0.258%K +0.332%G +0.004%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.10%EV -3.21%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-17 19:04
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.17%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.73%EV +1.15%E +0.258%K +0.332%G +0.004%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.10%EV -3.21%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-17 19:04
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -7.71%E -3.85%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +0.010%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 19:43
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -7.71%E -3.85%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.26%E -0.526%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-17 19:40
SportsBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.03%EV -8.17%E -4.10%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -2.26%E -0.526%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-17 19:44
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.50%EV -4.01%E -1.93%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.60%EV -2.72%E -0.635%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.90%EV -2.58%E -0.825%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-17 19:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.41%EV -5.86%E -2.87%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.54%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.07%E -1.66%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 19:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.54%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 19:39
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.71%E -3.85%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.54%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 19:54
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -11.86%E -6.21%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -4.54%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -10.36%E -3.60%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-17 19:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -11.86%E -6.21%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -4.54%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -10.36%E -3.60%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-17 19:50
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.93%EV -4.48%E -2.16%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.80%EV -5.22%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.27%EV -5.38%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 19:54
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -4.01%E -1.93%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -6.81%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 19:44
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -4.01%E -1.93%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -6.81%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 19:44
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.81%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 19:55
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.81%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 19:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.95%EV -6.32%E -3.11%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.81%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.30%EV -7.25%E -2.43%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-17 19:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.59%EV -13.24%E -7.04%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.09%EV -7.95%E -1.96%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -8.19%E -2.77%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-17 19:39
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.08%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 19:40
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.08%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 19:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.08%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 19:39
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -6.78%E -3.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -9.08%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 19:44
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -11.86%E -6.21%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -9.08%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.36%E -3.60%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-17 19:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.45%EV -11.40%E -5.94%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.58%EV -10.22%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -10.36%E -3.60%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-17 19:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.38%EV -9.55%E -4.87%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.35%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-17 19:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -13.24%E -7.04%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -11.35%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.80%EV -11.30%E -3.96%K -6.11%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-17 19:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.26%EV -10.48%E -5.40%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.31%EV -12.49%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -8.19%E -2.77%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-17 19:40
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -13.63%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-17 18:45
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -13.63%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.74%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-17 15:49
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -14.76%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-17 18:43
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -7.71%E -3.85%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -14.76%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -8.19%E -2.77%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-17 18:45
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -2.17%E -1.02%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -15.90%E -4.30%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -3.52%E -1.13%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 19:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -0.323%E -0.150%K -0.278%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -17.04%E -4.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.07%E -1.66%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 19:54
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -3.09%E -1.47%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -19.31%E -5.44%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -5.07%E -1.66%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-17 19:47
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -7.71%E -3.85%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -20.45%E -5.84%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.65%EV -10.36%E -3.60%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-17 19:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.22%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -21.58%E -6.26%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -11.30%E -3.96%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-17 19:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.20%EV -9.09%E -4.61%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.24%EV -21.58%E -6.26%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.55%EV -11.30%E -3.96%K -6.11%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-17 19:54
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53%0.7%2026-08-17 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.03%0.7%2026-08-17 19:55
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.53%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.68%0.9%2026-08-17 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.86%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%1.7%2026-08-17 19:55
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.17%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.58%2.2%2026-08-17 19:55