Idioma:Português
Lanus v Independiente
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Lanus (Local)
Previsão 46.15%2.17odd justa
EV -0.323%
Vantagem -0.150%
Kelly -0.278%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.16
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.22%46.05%46.27%47.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.882.022.052.1653.19%49.54%48.78%46.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Independiente (Visitante)
Previsão 22.73%4.40odd justa
EV +1.15%
Vantagem +0.258%
Kelly +0.332%
Crescimento +0.004%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.45
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.43%22.86%22.60%25.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.454.014.034.4528.99%24.94%24.84%22.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Previsão 31.12%3.21odd justa
EV -2.58%
Vantagem -0.825%
Kelly -1.21%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.13
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.20%31.09%31.13%31.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.852.983.003.1335.09%33.50%33.33%31.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Lanus (Local): 46.15%; Independiente (Visitante): 22.73%; Empate: 31.12%. Para Independiente (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.40. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.45, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.15%.
Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.17%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.73%EV +1.15%E +0.258%K +0.332%G +0.004% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.10%EV -3.21%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-17 19:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.17%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.73%EV +1.15%E +0.258%K +0.332%G +0.004% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.10%EV -3.21%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-17 19:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.17%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.73%EV +1.15%E +0.258%K +0.332%G +0.004% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.10%EV -3.21%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-17 19:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -7.71%E -3.85%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +0.010%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 19:43 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -7.71%E -3.85%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.26%E -0.526%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 19:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.03%EV -8.17%E -4.10%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -2.26%E -0.526%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-17 19:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.50%EV -4.01%E -1.93%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.60%EV -2.72%E -0.635%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.90%EV -2.58%E -0.825%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-17 19:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.41%EV -5.86%E -2.87%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.54%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.07%E -1.66%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.54%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 19:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.71%E -3.85%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.54%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 19:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -11.86%E -6.21%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -4.54%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -10.36%E -3.60%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-17 19:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -11.86%E -6.21%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -4.54%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -10.36%E -3.60%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-17 19:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.93%EV -4.48%E -2.16%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.80%EV -5.22%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.27%EV -5.38%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 19:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -4.01%E -1.93%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -6.81%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 19:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -4.01%E -1.93%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -6.81%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 19:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.81%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-17 19:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.81%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-17 19:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.95%EV -6.32%E -3.11%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.81%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.30%EV -7.25%E -2.43%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-17 19:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.59%EV -13.24%E -7.04%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.09%EV -7.95%E -1.96%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -8.19%E -2.77%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-17 19:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.08%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 19:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.08%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 19:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.08%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 19:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -6.78%E -3.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -9.08%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-17 19:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -11.86%E -6.21%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -9.08%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.36%E -3.60%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-17 19:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.45%EV -11.40%E -5.94%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.58%EV -10.22%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -10.36%E -3.60%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-17 19:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.38%EV -9.55%E -4.87%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.35%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-17 19:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -13.24%E -7.04%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -11.35%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.80%EV -11.30%E -3.96%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-17 19:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.26%EV -10.48%E -5.40%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.31%EV -12.49%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -8.19%E -2.77%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-17 19:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -13.63%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-17 18:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -13.63%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.74%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-17 15:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -14.76%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-17 18:43 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -7.71%E -3.85%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -14.76%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -8.19%E -2.77%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-17 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -2.17%E -1.02%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -15.90%E -4.30%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -3.52%E -1.13%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-17 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -0.323%E -0.150%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -17.04%E -4.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.07%E -1.66%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-17 19:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -3.09%E -1.47%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -19.31%E -5.44%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -5.07%E -1.66%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-17 19:47 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -7.71%E -3.85%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -20.45%E -5.84%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.65%EV -10.36%E -3.60%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-17 19:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.22%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -21.58%E -6.26%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -11.30%E -3.96%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-17 19:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.20%EV -9.09%E -4.61%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.24%EV -21.58%E -6.26%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.55%EV -11.30%E -3.96%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-17 19:54 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (5)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-17 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.39% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.03% | 0.7% | 2026-08-17 19:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.53% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.68% | 0.9% | 2026-08-17 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.40% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.86% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 1.7% | 2026-08-17 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.17% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.58% | 2.2% | 2026-08-17 19:55 |