Langue:Français
Lanus v Independiente
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Lanus (Local)
Prévision 46.15%2.17cote équitable
EV -0.323%
Avantage -0.150%
Kelly -0.278%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.16
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.22%46.05%46.27%47.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.882.022.052.1653.19%49.54%48.78%46.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Independiente (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.73%4.40cote équitable
EV +1.15%
Avantage +0.258%
Kelly +0.332%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 4.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.43%22.86%22.60%25.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.454.014.034.4528.99%24.94%24.84%22.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 31.12%3.21cote équitable
EV -2.58%
Avantage -0.825%
Kelly -1.21%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.13
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.20%31.09%31.13%31.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.852.983.003.1335.09%33.50%33.33%31.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Lanus (Local) : 46.15% ; Independiente (Visiteur) : 22.73% ; Match nul : 31.12%. Pour Independiente (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.40. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.45, soit une espérance positive de +1.15%.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.17%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.73%EV +1.15%E +0.258%K +0.332%G +0.004% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.10%EV -3.21%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-17 19:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.17%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.73%EV +1.15%E +0.258%K +0.332%G +0.004% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.10%EV -3.21%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-17 19:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.17%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.73%EV +1.15%E +0.258%K +0.332%G +0.004% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.10%EV -3.21%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-17 19:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -7.71%E -3.85%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +0.010%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 19:43 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -7.71%E -3.85%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.26%E -0.526%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 19:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.03%EV -8.17%E -4.10%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -2.26%E -0.526%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-17 19:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.50%EV -4.01%E -1.93%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.60%EV -2.72%E -0.635%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.90%EV -2.58%E -0.825%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-17 19:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.41%EV -5.86%E -2.87%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.54%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.07%E -1.66%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.54%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 19:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.71%E -3.85%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.54%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 19:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -11.86%E -6.21%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -4.54%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -10.36%E -3.60%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-17 19:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.22%EV -11.86%E -6.21%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -4.54%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -10.36%E -3.60%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-17 19:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.93%EV -4.48%E -2.16%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.80%EV -5.22%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.27%EV -5.38%E -1.77%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 19:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -4.01%E -1.93%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -6.81%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 19:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -4.01%E -1.93%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -6.81%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 19:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.81%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-17 19:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.81%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-17 19:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.95%EV -6.32%E -3.11%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.81%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.30%EV -7.25%E -2.43%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-17 19:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.59%EV -13.24%E -7.04%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.09%EV -7.95%E -1.96%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -8.19%E -2.77%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-17 19:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.08%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 19:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.08%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 19:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.08%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 19:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -6.78%E -3.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -9.08%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-17 19:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -11.86%E -6.21%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -9.08%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.36%E -3.60%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-17 19:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.45%EV -11.40%E -5.94%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.58%EV -10.22%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -10.36%E -3.60%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-17 19:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.38%EV -9.55%E -4.87%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.35%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-17 19:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -13.24%E -7.04%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -11.35%E -2.91%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.80%EV -11.30%E -3.96%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-17 19:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.26%EV -10.48%E -5.40%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.31%EV -12.49%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -8.19%E -2.77%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-17 19:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -13.63%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-17 18:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -13.63%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.74%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-17 15:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -14.76%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-17 18:43 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -7.71%E -3.85%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -14.76%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -8.19%E -2.77%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-17 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -2.17%E -1.02%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -15.90%E -4.30%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -3.52%E -1.13%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-17 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -0.323%E -0.150%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -17.04%E -4.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.07%E -1.66%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-17 19:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -3.09%E -1.47%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -19.31%E -5.44%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -5.07%E -1.66%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-17 19:47 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -7.71%E -3.85%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -20.45%E -5.84%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.65%EV -10.36%E -3.60%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-17 19:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.22%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -21.58%E -6.26%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -11.30%E -3.96%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-17 19:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.20%EV -9.09%E -4.61%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.24%EV -21.58%E -6.26%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.55%EV -11.30%E -3.96%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-17 19:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-17 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.39% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.03% | 0.7% | 2026-08-17 19:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.53% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.68% | 0.9% | 2026-08-17 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.40% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.86% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 1.7% | 2026-08-17 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.17% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.58% | 2.2% | 2026-08-17 19:55 |