Language:English
Lanus v Estudiantes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lanus (Local)
Prediction 42.82%2.34fair odd
EV -0.654%
Edge -0.282%
Kelly -0.495%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.53%42.88%42.81%44.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.162.152.3251.02%46.36%46.51%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Estudiantes (Visit)
Prediction 24.79%4.03fair odd
EV +3.62%
Edge +0.866%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.041%
assuming max odds 4.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.15%24.79%24.83%27.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.713.744.1829.41%26.98%26.74%23.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.39%3.09fair odd
EV +0.406%
Edge +0.131%
Kelly +0.194%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.13%32.33%32.36%33.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.672.882.883.1037.45%34.74%34.72%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lanus (Local): 42.82%; Estudiantes (Visit): 24.79%; Draw: 32.39%. For Estudiantes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.18, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.01%EV -3.65%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.15%EV +3.62%E +0.866%K +1.14%G +0.041% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.84%EV -7.37%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-21 23:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -10.07%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.32%E -0.852%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -2.83%E -0.944%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -10.07%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.32%E -0.852%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -2.83%E -0.944%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.92%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.90%EV -12.22%E -5.96%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -4.45%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-21 23:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.47%EV -4.94%E -2.22%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.13%EV +0.406%E +0.131%K +0.194%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-09-21 23:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.47%EV -4.94%E -2.22%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.13%EV +0.406%E +0.131%K +0.194%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-09-21 23:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.47%EV -4.94%E -2.22%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.13%EV +0.406%E +0.131%K +0.194%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-09-21 23:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.79%EV -1.51%E -0.657%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.92%EV -5.42%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.67%EV -5.36%E -2.43%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.52%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -2.83%E -0.944%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-21 22:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-22 00:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-22 00:08 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -10.07%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-21 21:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-21 21:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-22 00:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.87%EV -7.29%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.86%EV -8.34%E -2.95%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-22 00:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-21 21:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.35%EV -13.50%E -6.68%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.44%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.35%EV -13.50%E -6.68%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.44%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-21 21:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-21 21:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.79%EV -12.22%E -5.96%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.85%EV -13.52%E -5.06%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.55%EV -16.07%E -8.20%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.53%EV -0.654%E -0.282%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.53%EV -0.654%E -0.282%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.18%EV -10.07%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-22 00:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -14.36%E -7.18%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-22 00:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.89%EV -12.22%E -5.96%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 24.91%EV -12.49%E -3.54%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 32.21%EV -11.58%E -4.24%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-22 00:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-21 21:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.79%EV -10.07%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-22 00:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -12.55%E -4.65%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -3.65%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -15.72%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 42.41% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 25.24% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 32.35% | -0.9% | 2026-09-22 00:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.28% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98% | 1.1% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86% | 1.4% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86% | 1.4% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.48% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.73% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.79% | 2.4% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |