The School of Odds
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Lanus v Estudiantes

2026-09-22 00:15 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lanus (Local)

Prediction 40.60%2.46fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.93%40.60%40.60%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.172.3848.78%45.45%45.98%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Estudiantes (Visit)

Prediction 27.94%3.58fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.69%27.94%27.94%28.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.203.4533.33%31.11%31.25%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.46%3.18fair odd
EV -4.05%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.63%31.46%31.46%32.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.852.853.0537.04%35.05%35.09%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Lanus (Local): 40.60%; Estudiantes (Visit): 27.94%; Draw: 31.46%. For Lanus (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.38, with an expected value of -3.36%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.93%EV -3.36%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.63%EV -3.89%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.44%EV -7.83%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 19:00
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -6.61%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -4.05%E -1.33%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 22:00
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.61%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 22:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.97%EV -7.83%E -3.45%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -3.61%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.07%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 18:45
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.67%E -4.85%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -8.77%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 22:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -12.70%E -5.91%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.92%E -4.26%K -6.62%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-06 18:40
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.25%EV -12.70%E -5.91%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -16.19%E -5.40%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -11.92%E -4.26%K -6.62%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-06 22:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.08%EV -14.73%E -7.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.96%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.95%EV -15.06%E -5.58%K -8.86%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-07 00:17
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -14.73%E -7.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -13.49%E -4.90%K -7.71%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-06 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.67%EV -16.76%E -8.18%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.69%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.64%EV -15.06%E -5.58%K -8.86%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-07 00:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.