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Lanus v Estudiantes
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lanus (Local)
Predicción 42.82%2.34momio equitativo
EV -0.654%
Ventaja -0.282%
Kelly -0.495%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.53%42.88%42.81%44.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.962.162.152.3251.02%46.36%46.51%43.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Estudiantes (Visitante)
Predicción 24.79%4.03momio equitativo
EV +3.62%
Ventaja +0.866%
Kelly +1.14%
Crecimiento +0.041%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.15%24.79%24.83%27.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.713.744.1829.41%26.98%26.74%23.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 32.39%3.09momio equitativo
EV +0.406%
Ventaja +0.131%
Kelly +0.194%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.13%32.33%32.36%33.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.672.882.883.1037.45%34.74%34.72%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Lanus (Local): 42.82%; Estudiantes (Visitante): 24.79%; Empate: 32.39%. Para Estudiantes (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.03. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.18, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.62%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.01%EV -3.65%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.15%EV +3.62%E +0.866%K +1.14%G +0.041% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.84%EV -7.37%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-21 23:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -10.07%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.32%E -0.852%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -2.83%E -0.944%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -10.07%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.32%E -0.852%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -2.83%E -0.944%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.92%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.90%EV -12.22%E -5.96%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -4.45%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-21 23:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.47%EV -4.94%E -2.22%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.13%EV +0.406%E +0.131%K +0.194%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-09-21 23:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.47%EV -4.94%E -2.22%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.13%EV +0.406%E +0.131%K +0.194%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-09-21 23:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.47%EV -4.94%E -2.22%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.13%EV +0.406%E +0.131%K +0.194%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-09-21 23:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.79%EV -1.51%E -0.657%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.92%EV -5.42%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.67%EV -5.36%E -2.43%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.52%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -2.83%E -0.944%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-21 22:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-22 00:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-22 00:08 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -10.07%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-21 21:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-21 21:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-22 00:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.87%EV -7.29%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.86%EV -8.34%E -2.95%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-22 00:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-21 21:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.35%EV -13.50%E -6.68%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.44%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.35%EV -13.50%E -6.68%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.44%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-21 21:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-21 21:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.79%EV -12.22%E -5.96%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.85%EV -13.52%E -5.06%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.55%EV -16.07%E -8.20%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.53%EV -0.654%E -0.282%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.53%EV -0.654%E -0.282%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.18%EV -10.07%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-22 00:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -14.36%E -7.18%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-22 00:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.89%EV -12.22%E -5.96%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 24.91%EV -12.49%E -3.54%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 32.21%EV -11.58%E -4.24%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-22 00:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-21 21:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.79%EV -10.07%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-22 00:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -12.55%E -4.65%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -3.65%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -15.72%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 42.41% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 25.24% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 32.35% | -0.9% | 2026-09-22 00:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.28% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98% | 1.1% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86% | 1.4% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86% | 1.4% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.48% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.73% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.79% | 2.4% | 2026-09-22 00:09 |