Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Lanus v Estudiantes

Inizio: 2026-09-22 00:15 UTC

Finale: Lanus 2–1 Estudiantes

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

37 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Lanus (Casa)

Previsione 42.82%2.34quota equa
EV -0.654%
Vantaggio -0.282%
Kelly -0.495%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.53%42.88%42.81%44.90%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.962.162.152.3251.02%46.36%46.51%43.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Estudiantes (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.79%4.03quota equa
EV +3.62%
Vantaggio +0.866%
Kelly +1.14%
Crescita +0.041%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.15%24.79%24.83%27.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.713.744.1829.41%26.98%26.74%23.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 32.39%3.09quota equa
EV +0.406%
Vantaggio +0.131%
Kelly +0.194%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.13%32.33%32.36%33.84%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.672.882.883.1037.45%34.74%34.72%32.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Lanus (Casa): 42.82%; Estudiantes (Trasferta): 24.79%; Pareggio: 32.39%. Per Estudiantes (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.03. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 4.18, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.62%.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.01%EV -3.65%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.15%EV +3.62%E +0.866%K +1.14%G +0.041%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.84%EV -7.37%E -2.58%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-21 23:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -10.07%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.32%E -0.852%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -2.83%E -0.944%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-22 00:09
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -10.07%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.32%E -0.852%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -2.83%E -0.944%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-22 00:09
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.92%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-22 00:09
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.90%EV -12.22%E -5.96%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -4.45%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-21 23:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.47%EV -4.94%E -2.22%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.13%EV +0.406%E +0.131%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.6%2026-09-21 23:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.47%EV -4.94%E -2.22%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.13%EV +0.406%E +0.131%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.6%2026-09-21 23:54
BetAnything🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.47%EV -4.94%E -2.22%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.13%EV +0.406%E +0.131%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.6%2026-09-21 23:49
1xBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.79%EV -1.51%E -0.657%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.92%EV -5.42%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-22 00:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.67%EV -5.36%E -2.43%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.52%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-22 00:09
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -2.83%E -0.944%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-21 22:54
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-22 00:08
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-22 00:08
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-22 00:09
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-22 00:09
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%EV -10.07%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-21 21:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-21 21:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-22 00:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.87%EV -7.29%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.86%EV -8.34%E -2.95%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-22 00:09
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-22 00:04
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-21 21:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.35%EV -13.50%E -6.68%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.44%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-22 00:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.35%EV -13.50%E -6.68%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.44%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-22 00:09
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-21 21:04
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -6.72%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-21 21:00
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-22 00:09
NetBet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.79%EV -12.22%E -5.96%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.85%EV -13.52%E -5.06%K -8.10%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-22 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.55%EV -16.07%E -8.20%K -16.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -9.31%E -3.33%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-22 00:09
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.53%EV -0.654%E -0.282%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-22 00:09
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.53%EV -0.654%E -0.282%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-22 00:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.18%EV -10.07%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-22 00:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -14.36%E -7.18%K -14.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -12.00%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -10.93%E -3.97%K -6.25%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-22 00:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.89%EV -12.22%E -5.96%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.91%EV -12.49%E -3.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.21%EV -11.58%E -4.24%K -6.69%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-22 00:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-21 21:03
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.79%EV -10.07%E -4.80%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -7.69%E -2.70%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-22 00:04
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.24%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -12.55%E -4.65%K -7.38%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-22 00:09
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -3.65%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -15.72%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -6.07%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-22 00:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 42.41%4.00I 25.00%NM 25.24%3.12I 32.05%NM 32.35%-0.9%2026-09-22 00:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%1.1%2026-09-22 00:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86%1.4%2026-09-22 00:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86%1.4%2026-09-22 00:09
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.48%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.73%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.79%2.4%2026-09-22 00:09