Language:English
Lanus v Banfield
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lanus (Local)
Prediction 49.56%2.02fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.26%49.69%49.50%51.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.851.861.9557.80%54.00%53.76%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Banfield (Visit)
Prediction 20.22%4.95fair odd
EV +1.31%
Edge +0.261%
Kelly +0.327%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 5.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.55%20.21%20.29%21.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.584.605.0125.00%21.85%21.74%19.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.22%3.31fair odd
EV -0.288%
Edge -0.087%
Kelly -0.125%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.46%30.10%30.21%30.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.093.103.3035.71%32.40%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lanus (Local): 49.56%; Banfield (Visit): 20.22%; Draw: 30.22%. For Banfield (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.95. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.01, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.31%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.37%EV -4.84%E -2.52%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 19.31%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.32%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -9.30%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV +1.11%E +0.222%K +0.277%G +0.003% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-13 21:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.53%EV -10.79%E -5.99%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV +1.11%E +0.222%K +0.277%G +0.003% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-13 21:53 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.97%EV -7.32%E -3.91%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.61%EV -1.72%E -0.355%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.42%EV -2.10%E -0.649%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.97%EV -7.32%E -3.91%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.61%EV -1.72%E -0.355%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.42%EV -2.10%E -0.649%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 19:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.69%EV -4.34%E -2.25%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.86%EV -2.33%E -0.482%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.45%EV -4.82%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.66%EV -9.30%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -2.94%E -0.612%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -0.288%E -0.087%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.66%EV -9.30%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -2.94%E -0.612%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -0.288%E -0.087%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.88%EV -7.32%E -3.91%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -2.94%E -0.612%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.68%EV -8.14%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-13 21:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.03%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.12%EV -3.95%E -0.831%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 20:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.30%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -3.95%E -0.831%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -1.80%E -0.554%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-13 21:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.43%EV -5.83%E -3.07%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -3.95%E -0.831%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.84%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-13 20:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.53%EV -10.79%E -5.99%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -3.95%E -0.831%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-13 21:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.44%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -4.96%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.36%EV -5.83%E -3.07%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-13 21:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.36%EV -5.83%E -3.07%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-13 21:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.98%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.84%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-13 21:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -12.77%E -7.26%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-13 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -12.77%E -7.26%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -13.27%E -7.58%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-13 21:13 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-13 21:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.83%E -3.07%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-13 21:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -7.32%E -3.91%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-13 21:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.49%EV -10.79%E -5.99%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-13 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -3.35%E -1.72%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -11.03%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-13 21:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.78%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -11.03%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-13 20:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.44%EV -7.81%E -4.20%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -11.03%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 20:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.26%EV -14.26%E -8.24%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.76%EV -11.03%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.98%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-13 21:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -9.30%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -12.44%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-13 19:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.57%EV -14.26%E -8.24%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.80%EV -12.44%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.63%EV -15.40%E -5.50%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.04%EV -9.80%E -5.38%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.00%EV -14.06%E -3.31%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.95%EV -9.96%E -3.34%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-13 21:31 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.95%EV -7.81%E -4.20%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -15.07%E -3.59%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-13 21:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.85%EV -8.31%E -4.49%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -15.07%E -3.59%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.84%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-13 20:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.05%EV -10.79%E -5.99%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -15.07%E -3.59%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.93%EV -10.86%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-13 21:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.78%EV -10.79%E -5.99%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -19.11%E -4.78%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-13 21:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.36% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.19% | 0.4% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.36% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.19% | 0.4% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11% | 0.6% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11% | 0.6% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.90% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46% | 2.0% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.33% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.50% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.17% | 2.0% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |