La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Lanus v Banfield
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lanus (Local)
Predicción 49.56%2.02momio equitativo
EV -3.35%
Ventaja -1.72%
Kelly -3.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.26%49.69%49.50%51.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.851.861.9557.80%54.00%53.76%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Banfield (Visitante)
Predicción 20.22%4.95momio equitativo
EV +1.31%
Ventaja +0.261%
Kelly +0.327%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.55%20.21%20.29%21.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.584.605.0125.00%21.85%21.74%19.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.22%3.31momio equitativo
EV -0.288%
Ventaja -0.087%
Kelly -0.125%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.46%30.10%30.21%30.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.093.103.3035.71%32.40%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.37%EV -4.84%E -2.52%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 19.31%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.32%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -9.30%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV +1.11%E +0.222%K +0.277%G +0.003% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-13 21:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.53%EV -10.79%E -5.99%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV +1.11%E +0.222%K +0.277%G +0.003% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-13 21:53 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.97%EV -7.32%E -3.91%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.61%EV -1.72%E -0.355%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.42%EV -2.10%E -0.649%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.97%EV -7.32%E -3.91%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.61%EV -1.72%E -0.355%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.42%EV -2.10%E -0.649%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 19:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.69%EV -4.34%E -2.25%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.86%EV -2.33%E -0.482%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.45%EV -4.82%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.66%EV -9.30%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -2.94%E -0.612%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -0.288%E -0.087%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |
| Unibet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.66%EV -9.30%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -2.94%E -0.612%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -0.288%E -0.087%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.88%EV -7.32%E -3.91%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -2.94%E -0.612%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.68%EV -8.14%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-13 21:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.03%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.12%EV -3.95%E -0.831%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 20:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.30%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -3.95%E -0.831%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -1.80%E -0.554%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-13 21:39 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.43%EV -5.83%E -3.07%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -3.95%E -0.831%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.84%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-13 20:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.53%EV -10.79%E -5.99%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -3.95%E -0.831%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-13 21:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.44%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -4.96%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.36%EV -5.83%E -3.07%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-13 21:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.36%EV -5.83%E -3.07%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-13 21:45 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.98%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.84%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-13 21:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -12.77%E -7.26%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-13 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -12.77%E -7.26%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -13.27%E -7.58%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-13 21:13 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-13 21:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.83%E -3.07%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-13 21:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -7.32%E -3.91%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-13 21:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.49%EV -10.79%E -5.99%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-13 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -3.35%E -1.72%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -11.03%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-13 21:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.78%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -11.03%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-13 20:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.44%EV -7.81%E -4.20%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -11.03%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 20:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.26%EV -14.26%E -8.24%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.76%EV -11.03%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.98%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-13 21:54 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -9.30%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -12.44%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-13 19:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.57%EV -14.26%E -8.24%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.80%EV -12.44%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.63%EV -15.40%E -5.50%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.04%EV -9.80%E -5.38%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.00%EV -14.06%E -3.31%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.95%EV -9.96%E -3.34%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-13 21:31 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.95%EV -7.81%E -4.20%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -15.07%E -3.59%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-13 21:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.85%EV -8.31%E -4.49%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -15.07%E -3.59%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.84%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-13 20:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.05%EV -10.79%E -5.99%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -15.07%E -3.59%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.93%EV -10.86%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-13 21:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.78%EV -10.79%E -5.99%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -19.11%E -4.78%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-13 21:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.36% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.19% | 0.4% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.36% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.19% | 0.4% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11% | 0.6% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11% | 0.6% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.90% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46% | 2.0% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.33% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.50% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.17% | 2.0% | 2026-04-13 21:55 |