L’École des cotes

Lanus v Banfield

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-13 22:00 UTC

Score final : Lanus 1–0 Banfield

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Lanus (Local)

Prévision 49.56%2.02cote équitable
EV -3.35%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -3.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.26%49.69%49.50%51.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.851.861.9557.80%54.00%53.76%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Banfield (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.22%4.95cote équitable
EV +1.31%
Avantage +0.261%
Kelly +0.327%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 5.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.55%20.21%20.29%21.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.584.605.0125.00%21.85%21.74%19.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.22%3.31cote équitable
EV -0.288%
Avantage -0.087%
Kelly -0.125%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.46%30.10%30.21%30.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.093.103.3035.71%32.40%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 50.37%EV -4.84%E -2.52%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 19.31%EV +1.31%E +0.261%K +0.327%G +0.004%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.32%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-13 21:55
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -9.30%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV +1.11%E +0.222%K +0.277%G +0.003%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 21:54
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.53%EV -10.79%E -5.99%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV +1.11%E +0.222%K +0.277%G +0.003%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 21:53
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.97%EV -7.32%E -3.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.61%EV -1.72%E -0.355%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.42%EV -2.10%E -0.649%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 19:15
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.97%EV -7.32%E -3.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.61%EV -1.72%E -0.355%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.42%EV -2.10%E -0.649%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 19:14
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.69%EV -4.34%E -2.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.86%EV -2.33%E -0.482%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.45%EV -4.82%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 21:55
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.66%EV -9.30%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -2.94%E -0.612%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -0.288%E -0.087%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 21:55
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.66%EV -9.30%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -2.94%E -0.612%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -0.288%E -0.087%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 21:55
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.88%EV -7.32%E -3.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -2.94%E -0.612%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.68%EV -8.14%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 21:54
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.03%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.12%EV -3.95%E -0.831%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 20:15
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -9.30%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -3.95%E -0.831%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -1.80%E -0.554%K -0.800%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-13 21:39
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.43%EV -5.83%E -3.07%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -3.95%E -0.831%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.84%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-13 20:55
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.53%EV -10.79%E -5.99%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -3.95%E -0.831%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-13 21:54
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.44%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -4.96%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 21:55
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 49.36%EV -5.83%E -3.07%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 21:45
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.36%EV -5.83%E -3.07%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 21:45
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 48.98%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.84%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 21:44
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -12.77%E -7.26%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-13 21:54
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -12.77%E -7.26%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -3.31%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-13 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -13.27%E -7.58%K -17.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -6.98%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-13 21:55
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-13 21:13
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 21:30
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 21:55
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.83%E -3.07%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-13 21:45
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -7.32%E -3.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-13 21:00
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.49%EV -10.79%E -5.99%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-13 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -3.35%E -1.72%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -11.03%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 21:45
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.78%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -11.03%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 20:59
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 49.44%EV -7.81%E -4.20%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -11.03%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 20:20
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.26%EV -14.26%E -8.24%K -19.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.76%EV -11.03%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.98%EV -12.37%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-13 21:54
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -9.30%E -5.08%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -12.44%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-13 19:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.57%EV -14.26%E -8.24%K -19.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.80%EV -12.44%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.63%EV -15.40%E -5.50%K -8.55%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-13 21:55
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.04%EV -9.80%E -5.38%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.00%EV -14.06%E -3.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.95%EV -9.96%E -3.34%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-13 21:31
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.95%EV -7.81%E -4.20%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -15.07%E -3.59%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -6.33%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-13 21:00
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.85%EV -8.31%E -4.49%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -15.07%E -3.59%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -7.84%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-13 20:20
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.05%EV -10.79%E -5.99%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -15.07%E -3.59%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.93%EV -10.86%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-13 21:34
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.78%EV -10.79%E -5.99%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -19.11%E -4.78%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -9.35%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-13 21:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.36%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.19%0.4%2026-04-13 21:55
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.36%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.19%0.4%2026-04-13 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11%0.6%2026-04-13 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11%0.6%2026-04-13 21:55
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.90%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46%2.0%2026-04-13 21:55
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.33%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.50%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.17%2.0%2026-04-13 21:55