Language:English
Lanus v Argentinos Juniors
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lanus (Local)
Prediction 37.53%2.66fair odd
EV +3.20%
Edge +1.16%
Kelly +1.83%
Growth +0.059%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.91%37.55%37.51%38.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.462.452.7543.48%40.70%40.82%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Argentinos Juniors (Visit)
Prediction 30.40%3.29fair odd
EV +0.021%
Edge +0.006%
Kelly +0.009%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.36%30.35%30.47%32.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.043.023.2935.09%32.92%33.06%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.07%3.12fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.17%32.10%32.02%32.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.882.902.9836.36%34.72%34.48%33.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lanus (Local): 37.53%; Argentinos Juniors (Visit): 30.40%; Draw: 32.07%. For Lanus (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.20%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.91%EV +3.20%E +1.16%K +1.83%G +0.059% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.11%EV -9.10%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.99%EV -6.67%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.98%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.53%EV -0.283%E -0.086%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.50%EV -4.43%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-25 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.89%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.36%EV +0.021%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.75%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-24 23:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.89%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.36%EV +0.021%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.75%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-24 23:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.89%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.36%EV +0.021%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.75%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-24 23:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.03%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-24 15:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-24 15:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -6.35%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -6.35%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -2.72%E -0.849%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-24 23:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-24 23:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-24 15:23 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-25 00:08 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-24 23:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-24 23:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-25 00:08 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-24 23:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -8.81%E -3.62%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-24 23:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.93%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-25 00:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.93%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-25 00:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -9.93%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.64%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-24 22:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.93%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-24 15:23 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -9.93%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -13.36%E -4.69%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-24 15:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.68%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.68%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.56%EV -10.68%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.51%EV -10.92%E -3.73%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-24 23:46 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -10.68%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -11.80%E -4.29%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-24 23:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.41%EV -11.81%E -5.03%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.63%EV -12.75%E -4.44%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -11.80%E -4.29%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.94%EV -12.56%E -5.39%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.48%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.57%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-24 23:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.94%EV -12.56%E -5.39%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.48%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.57%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-24 23:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -13.69%E -5.95%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-24 23:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -13.69%E -5.95%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.31%EV -12.44%E -4.32%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -11.80%E -4.29%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-24 23:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-08-25 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-08-25 00:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-08-25 00:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.08% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.69% | 1.8% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.0% | 2026-08-24 23:24 |