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Lanus v Argentinos Juniors
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lanus (Local)
Predicción 37.53%2.66momio equitativo
EV +3.20%
Ventaja +1.16%
Kelly +1.83%
Crecimiento +0.059%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.91%37.55%37.51%38.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.462.452.7543.48%40.70%40.82%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Argentinos Juniors (Visitante)
Predicción 30.40%3.29momio equitativo
EV +0.021%
Ventaja +0.006%
Kelly +0.009%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.36%30.35%30.47%32.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.853.043.023.2935.09%32.92%33.06%30.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 32.07%3.12momio equitativo
EV -4.43%
Ventaja -1.49%
Kelly -2.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.17%32.10%32.02%32.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.882.902.9836.36%34.72%34.48%33.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Lanus (Local): 37.53%; Argentinos Juniors (Visitante): 30.40%; Empate: 32.07%. Para Lanus (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.66. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.20%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.91%EV +3.20%E +1.16%K +1.83%G +0.059% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.11%EV -9.10%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.99%EV -6.67%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.98%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.53%EV -0.283%E -0.086%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.50%EV -4.43%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-25 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.89%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.36%EV +0.021%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.75%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-24 23:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.89%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.36%EV +0.021%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.75%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-24 23:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.89%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.36%EV +0.021%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.75%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-24 23:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.03%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-24 15:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-24 15:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -6.35%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -6.35%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -2.72%E -0.849%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-24 23:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-24 23:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-24 15:23 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-25 00:08 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-24 23:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-24 23:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-25 00:08 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-24 23:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-24 22:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -8.81%E -3.62%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-24 23:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.93%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-25 00:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.93%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-25 00:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -9.93%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.64%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-24 22:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.93%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-24 15:23 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -9.93%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -13.36%E -4.69%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -8.60%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-24 15:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.68%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.68%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.56%EV -10.68%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.51%EV -10.92%E -3.73%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-24 23:46 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -10.68%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -11.80%E -4.29%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-24 23:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.41%EV -11.81%E -5.03%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.63%EV -12.75%E -4.44%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -11.80%E -4.29%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.94%EV -12.56%E -5.39%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.48%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.57%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-24 23:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.94%EV -12.56%E -5.39%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.48%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.57%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-24 23:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -13.69%E -5.95%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-24 23:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -13.69%E -5.95%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.31%EV -12.44%E -4.32%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -11.80%E -4.29%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-24 23:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-08-25 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-08-25 00:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-08-25 00:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.08% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.69% | 1.8% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.0% | 2026-08-24 23:24 |