La scuola delle quote

Independiente Rivadavia v River Plate

Inizio: 2026-03-03 00:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

38 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Independiente Rivadavia (Casa)

Previsione 30.96%3.23quota equa
EV -0.927%
Vantaggio -0.290%
Kelly -0.421%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.46%30.92%30.97%31.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.983.003.2037.74%33.57%33.33%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

River Plate (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.10%2.62quota equa
EV -2.09%
Vantaggio -0.811%
Kelly -1.33%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.01%38.22%38.15%40.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.412.402.5745.45%41.56%41.67%38.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.94%3.23quota equa
EV -3.77%
Vantaggio -1.21%
Kelly -1.79%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.11

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.08%30.86%30.88%31.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.993.003.1137.04%33.48%33.33%32.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -0.927%E -0.290%K -0.421%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -10.47%E -4.45%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 00:15
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -0.927%E -0.290%K -0.421%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -10.47%E -4.45%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 00:15
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -0.927%E -0.290%K -0.421%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -10.47%E -4.45%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 00:15
Pinnacle3.15I 31.75%NM 30.69%EV -2.48%E -0.786%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.22%EV -3.61%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.09%EV -3.77%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-03 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -2.48%E -0.786%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.94%EV -11.23%E -4.82%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.02%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 14:04
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.02%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 00:10
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.57%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 00:10
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -5.57%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.88%EV -13.13%E -5.76%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-03 00:10
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -5.57%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.88%EV -13.13%E -5.76%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-03 00:10
1xBet3.02I 33.11%NM 31.03%EV -6.50%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.63%EV -5.13%E -2.06%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.34%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 00:15
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.75%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-02 20:54
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -4.75%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 00:10
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.75%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 00:10
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.75%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 00:10
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-03 00:07
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-03 00:10
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 00:10
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 00:10
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 00:10
Marathon Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.74%EV -5.90%E -2.39%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.18%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 00:15
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-03 00:10
LowVig.ag2.99I 33.44%NM 31.81%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -2.09%E -0.811%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.18%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-02 22:35
BetOnline.ag2.99I 33.44%NM 31.81%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -2.09%E -0.811%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.18%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-02 22:35
Betclic (FR)2.93I 34.13%NM 30.45%EV -9.29%E -3.17%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.37%E -5.38%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-03 00:08
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 00:10
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 00:10
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 00:10
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.47%E -4.45%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-03 00:10
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-03 00:10
Parions Sport (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.46%EV -12.37%E -5.38%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -11.82%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-03 00:10
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -10.83%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -10.89%E -3.78%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-03 00:09
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -11.76%E -4.13%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -8.73%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-03 00:10
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.55%EV -11.76%E -4.13%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.36%EV -13.52%E -5.95%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.10%EV -13.37%E -4.77%K -7.43%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-03 00:15
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -13.31%E -4.75%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -9.32%E -3.92%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -10.89%E -3.78%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-03 00:10
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -13.31%E -4.75%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -14.28%E -6.35%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.41%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-03 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -13.31%E -4.75%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -12.37%E -5.38%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -16.46%E -6.10%K -9.68%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-02 20:24
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 31.39%EV -17.96%E -6.78%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.81%EV -16.18%E -7.36%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.81%EV -16.46%E -6.10%K -9.68%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-03 00:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.36%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%0.6%2026-03-03 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.36%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%0.6%2026-03-03 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.36%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%0.6%2026-03-03 00:15
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-03-03 00:15
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.17%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.17%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.66%1.9%2026-03-03 00:15