L’École des cotesFrançais
Independiente Rivadavia v River Plate
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Independiente Rivadavia (Local)
Prévision 30.96%3.23cote équitable
EV -0.927%
Avantage -0.290%
Kelly -0.421%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.46%30.92%30.97%31.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.983.003.2037.74%33.57%33.33%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
River Plate (Visiteur)
Prévision 38.10%2.62cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -0.811%
Kelly -1.33%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.57
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.01%38.22%38.15%40.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.412.402.5745.45%41.56%41.67%38.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.94%3.23cote équitable
EV -3.77%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -1.79%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.11
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.08%30.86%30.88%31.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.993.003.1137.04%33.48%33.33%32.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -0.927%E -0.290%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -10.47%E -4.45%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -0.927%E -0.290%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -10.47%E -4.45%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| BetRivers | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -0.927%E -0.290%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -10.47%E -4.45%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Pinnacle | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.69%EV -2.48%E -0.786%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.22%EV -3.61%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.09%EV -3.77%E -1.21%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -2.48%E -0.786%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.94%EV -11.23%E -4.82%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.02%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-02 14:04 |
| theScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.02%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.57%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -5.57%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.88%EV -13.13%E -5.76%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -5.57%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.88%EV -13.13%E -5.76%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| 1xBet | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.03%EV -6.50%E -2.15%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.63%EV -5.13%E -2.06%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.34%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Fanatics | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.75%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-02 20:54 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -4.75%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| FanDuel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.75%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Everygame | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.75%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Bovada | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-03 00:07 |
| BetAnything | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Betsson | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| NordicBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| BetMGM | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.74%EV -5.90%E -2.39%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.18%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.12%E -2.37%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.81%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -2.09%E -0.811%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.18%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-02 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.81%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -2.09%E -0.811%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.18%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-02 22:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.45%EV -9.29%E -3.17%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.37%E -5.38%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-03 00:08 |
| SportsBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.47%E -4.45%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.18%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.46%EV -12.37%E -5.38%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -11.82%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -10.83%E -3.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -10.89%E -3.78%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-03 00:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -11.76%E -4.13%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -8.73%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.55%EV -11.76%E -4.13%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.36%EV -13.52%E -5.95%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.10%EV -13.37%E -4.77%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -13.31%E -4.75%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -9.32%E -3.92%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -10.89%E -3.78%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -13.31%E -4.75%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -14.28%E -6.35%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -13.31%E -4.75%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -12.37%E -5.38%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -16.46%E -6.10%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-02 20:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.39%EV -17.96%E -6.78%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.81%EV -16.18%E -7.36%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.81%EV -16.46%E -6.10%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.36% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 0.6% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.36% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 0.6% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.36% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 0.6% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Matchbook | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.97% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.54% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 0.9% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |
| Smarkets | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.17% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.17% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.66% | 1.9% | 2026-03-03 00:15 |