La scuola delle quote

Independiente Rivadavia v Gimnasia Mendoza

Inizio: 2026-04-26 18:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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33 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Independiente Rivadavia (Casa)

Previsione 51.68%1.94quota equa
EV -4.91%
Vantaggio -2.67%
Kelly -5.85%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.84

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.99%51.74%51.66%53.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.661.781.801.8460.24%56.29%55.56%54.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Gimnasia Mendoza (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.95%5.57quota equa
EV +10.36%
Vantaggio +1.68%
Kelly +2.01%
Crescita +0.208%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.51%17.76%17.96%20.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.335.095.006.1523.09%19.65%20.00%16.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.38%3.29quota equa
EV -1.27%
Vantaggio -0.391%
Kelly -0.565%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.25%30.51%30.37%32.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.073.103.2535.71%32.58%32.26%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (33 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.14%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.51%EV +10.36%E +1.68%K +2.01%G +0.208%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 16:54
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.14%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.51%EV +10.36%E +1.68%K +2.01%G +0.208%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 16:54
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 51.55%EV -4.91%E -2.67%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 15.97%EV +6.59%E +1.11%K +1.33%G +0.088%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.48%EV -11.30%E -3.87%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:20
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV +3.18%E +0.554%K +0.670%G +0.021%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -14.94%E -5.34%K -8.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 12:45
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -1.30%E -0.237%K -0.289%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 18:04
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.96%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -2.20%E -0.404%K -0.494%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -11.30%E -3.87%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 17:40
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.09%EV -8.02%E -4.50%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.89%E -0.923%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.08%EV -1.27%E -0.391%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 17:34
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.09%EV -8.02%E -4.50%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.89%E -0.923%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.08%EV -1.27%E -0.391%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 17:35
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.08%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -4.89%E -0.923%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 22:04
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.08%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -4.89%E -0.923%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -5.79%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -2.79%E -0.872%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 18:04
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -5.79%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 18:20
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -8.53%E -4.82%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -5.79%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -1.27%E -0.391%K -0.565%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 17:34
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -5.79%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.85%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 18:05
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.24%EV -11.63%E -6.80%K -16.38%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -8.48%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 17:34
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.24%EV -11.63%E -6.80%K -16.38%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -8.48%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 17:35
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -5.95%E -3.27%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 14:19
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.43%EV -8.53%E -4.82%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -2.79%E -0.872%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 18:00
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.53%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 08:39
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 10:59
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 10:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -12.15%E -7.15%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 17:35
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 51.75%EV -13.18%E -7.85%K -19.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.74%EV -12.07%E -2.46%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.51%EV -13.42%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-23 18:05
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -13.86%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -2.79%E -0.872%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 14:10
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 51.84%EV -12.67%E -7.49%K -18.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.25%EV -13.86%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 29.90%EV -10.99%E -3.75%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-22 02:44
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -14.76%E -3.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -1.27%E -0.391%K -0.565%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 14:09
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -17.45%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -2.79%E -0.872%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 21:24
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 50.57%EV -6.46%E -3.57%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -17.45%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.53%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 23:19
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.60%EV -11.12%E -6.46%K -15.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -17.45%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.10%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 02:44
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -9.57%E -5.47%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -19.25%E -4.28%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -2.79%E -0.872%K -1.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 14:09
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 51.03%EV -14.22%E -8.56%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.25%EV -21.04%E -4.78%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.72%EV -13.42%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-22 02:45
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -9.57%E -5.47%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -22.30%E -5.15%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.99%EV -10.60%E -6.13%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.97%EV -22.30%E -5.15%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.03%EV -12.51%E -4.34%K -6.65%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-24 01:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.31%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.98%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.72%3.3%2026-04-23 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.31%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.98%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.72%3.3%2026-04-23 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.31%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.98%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.72%3.3%2026-04-23 18:14
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 52.16%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.05%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%4.8%2026-04-23 18:20
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 51.35%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.18%2.84I 35.21%NM 31.46%11.9%2026-04-23 20:55