L’École des cotes

Independiente Rivadavia v Gimnasia Mendoza

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

33 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Independiente Rivadavia (Local)

Prévision 51.68%1.94cote équitable
EV -4.91%
Avantage -2.67%
Kelly -5.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.99%51.74%51.66%53.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.781.801.8460.24%56.29%55.56%54.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Gimnasia Mendoza (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.95%5.57cote équitable
EV +10.36%
Avantage +1.68%
Kelly +2.01%
Croissance +0.208%

avec la cote maximale 6.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.51%17.76%17.96%20.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.335.095.006.1523.09%19.65%20.00%16.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.38%3.29cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -0.391%
Kelly -0.565%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.25%30.51%30.37%32.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.073.103.2535.71%32.58%32.26%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.14%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.51%EV +10.36%E +1.68%K +2.01%G +0.208%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 16:54
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.14%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.51%EV +10.36%E +1.68%K +2.01%G +0.208%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 16:54
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 51.55%EV -4.91%E -2.67%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 15.97%EV +6.59%E +1.11%K +1.33%G +0.088%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.48%EV -11.30%E -3.87%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:20
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV +3.18%E +0.554%K +0.670%G +0.021%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -14.94%E -5.34%K -8.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 12:45
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -1.30%E -0.237%K -0.289%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 18:04
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.96%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -2.20%E -0.404%K -0.494%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -11.30%E -3.87%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 17:40
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.09%EV -8.02%E -4.50%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.89%E -0.923%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.08%EV -1.27%E -0.391%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 17:34
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.09%EV -8.02%E -4.50%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.89%E -0.923%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.08%EV -1.27%E -0.391%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 17:35
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.08%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -4.89%E -0.923%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 22:04
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.08%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -4.89%E -0.923%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -5.79%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -2.79%E -0.872%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 18:04
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -5.79%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 18:20
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -8.53%E -4.82%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -5.79%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -1.27%E -0.391%K -0.565%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 17:34
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -5.79%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.85%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 18:05
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.24%EV -11.63%E -6.80%K -16.38%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -8.48%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 17:34
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.24%EV -11.63%E -6.80%K -16.38%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -8.48%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 17:35
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -5.95%E -3.27%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 14:19
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.43%EV -8.53%E -4.82%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -2.79%E -0.872%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 18:00
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.53%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 08:39
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 10:59
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 10:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -12.15%E -7.15%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 17:35
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 51.75%EV -13.18%E -7.85%K -19.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.74%EV -12.07%E -2.46%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.51%EV -13.42%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-23 18:05
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -13.86%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -2.79%E -0.872%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 14:10
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 51.84%EV -12.67%E -7.49%K -18.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.25%EV -13.86%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 29.90%EV -10.99%E -3.75%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-22 02:44
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -14.76%E -3.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -1.27%E -0.391%K -0.565%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 14:09
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -17.45%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -2.79%E -0.872%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 21:24
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 50.57%EV -6.46%E -3.57%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -17.45%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.53%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 23:19
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.60%EV -11.12%E -6.46%K -15.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -17.45%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.10%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 02:44
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -9.57%E -5.47%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -19.25%E -4.28%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -2.79%E -0.872%K -1.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 14:09
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 51.03%EV -14.22%E -8.56%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.25%EV -21.04%E -4.78%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.72%EV -13.42%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-22 02:45
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -9.57%E -5.47%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -22.30%E -5.15%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.99%EV -10.60%E -6.13%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.97%EV -22.30%E -5.15%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.03%EV -12.51%E -4.34%K -6.65%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-24 01:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.31%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.98%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.72%3.3%2026-04-23 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.31%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.98%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.72%3.3%2026-04-23 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.31%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.98%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.72%3.3%2026-04-23 18:14
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 52.16%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.05%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%4.8%2026-04-23 18:20
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 51.35%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.18%2.84I 35.21%NM 31.46%11.9%2026-04-23 20:55