La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Independiente Rivadavia v Gimnasia Mendoza
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Independiente Rivadavia (Local)
Predicción 51.68%1.94momio equitativo
EV -4.91%
Ventaja -2.67%
Kelly -5.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.99%51.74%51.66%53.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.781.801.8460.24%56.29%55.56%54.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Gimnasia Mendoza (Visitante)
Predicción 17.95%5.57momio equitativo
EV +10.36%
Ventaja +1.68%
Kelly +2.01%
Crecimiento +0.208%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.51%17.76%17.96%20.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.335.095.006.1523.09%19.65%20.00%16.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.38%3.29momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.391%
Kelly -0.565%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.25%30.51%30.37%32.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.073.103.2535.71%32.58%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (33 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.14%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.51%EV +10.36%E +1.68%K +2.01%G +0.208% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 16:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.14%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.51%EV +10.36%E +1.68%K +2.01%G +0.208% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 16:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.55%EV -4.91%E -2.67%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.94I 16.84%NM 15.97%EV +6.59%E +1.11%K +1.33%G +0.088% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.48%EV -11.30%E -3.87%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV +3.18%E +0.554%K +0.670%G +0.021% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -14.94%E -5.34%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 12:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -1.30%E -0.237%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -10.38%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 18:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.96%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -2.20%E -0.404%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -11.30%E -3.87%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 17:40 |
| Unibet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.09%EV -8.02%E -4.50%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.89%E -0.923%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.08%EV -1.27%E -0.391%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 17:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.09%EV -8.02%E -4.50%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.89%E -0.923%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.08%EV -1.27%E -0.391%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 17:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.08%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -4.89%E -0.923%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 22:04 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.08%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -4.89%E -0.923%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -5.79%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -2.79%E -0.872%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 18:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -5.79%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -8.53%E -4.82%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -5.79%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -1.27%E -0.391%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 17:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -5.79%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.85%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.24%EV -11.63%E -6.80%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -8.48%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 17:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.24%EV -11.63%E -6.80%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -8.48%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 17:35 |
| Bovada | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -5.95%E -3.27%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 14:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.43%EV -8.53%E -4.82%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -2.79%E -0.872%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.53%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 08:39 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -5.43%E -2.97%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 10:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 10:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -12.15%E -7.15%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 17:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.75%EV -13.18%E -7.85%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.74%EV -12.07%E -2.46%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.51%EV -13.42%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-23 18:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -13.86%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -2.79%E -0.872%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 14:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 51.84%EV -12.67%E -7.49%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.25%EV -13.86%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 29.90%EV -10.99%E -3.75%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-22 02:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -14.76%E -3.11%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -1.27%E -0.391%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 14:09 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.98%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -17.45%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -2.79%E -0.872%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Bet Right | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.57%EV -6.46%E -3.57%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -17.45%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.53%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 23:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.60%EV -11.12%E -6.46%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -17.45%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.10%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-22 02:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -9.57%E -5.47%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -19.25%E -4.28%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -2.79%E -0.872%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-23 14:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 51.03%EV -14.22%E -8.56%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.25%EV -21.04%E -4.78%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.72%EV -13.42%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-04-22 02:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -9.57%E -5.47%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -22.30%E -5.15%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 18:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.99%EV -10.60%E -6.13%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.97%EV -22.30%E -5.15%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.03%EV -12.51%E -4.34%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-24 01:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.31% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.98% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.72% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.31% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.98% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.72% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.31% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.98% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.72% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| Smarkets | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.16% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.05% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.35% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.18% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 31.46% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |