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Independiente Rivadavia v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

2026-08-08 00:45 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Independiente Rivadavia (Local)

Prediction 58.59%1.71fair odd
EV -4.49%
Edge -2.76%
Kelly -7.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.28%58.59%58.59%58.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.591.601.6365.36%62.95%62.50%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visit)

Prediction 15.53%6.44fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.196%
Kelly -0.232%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.93%15.53%15.53%17.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.735.756.3620.00%17.45%17.39%15.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.88%3.86fair odd
EV -6.84%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.87%25.88%25.88%26.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.493.503.6030.77%28.64%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Independiente Rivadavia (Local): 58.59%; Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visit): 15.53%; Draw: 25.88%. For Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.44. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 6.36, with an expected value of -1.25%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.25%EV -4.49%E -2.76%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.36I 15.72%NM 14.93%EV -1.25%E -0.196%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.82%EV -8.39%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 15:32
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.25%E -3.91%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -6.84%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 15:10
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -6.25%E -3.91%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.72%E -1.86%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -10.72%E -3.11%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 15:10
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.25%E -3.91%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -14.60%E -2.65%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 15:09
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.84%E -4.30%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -6.84%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 15:08
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -14.60%E -2.65%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 15:09
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 56.28%EV -10.35%E -6.77%K -19.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -22.36%E -4.47%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.50%EV -15.89%E -4.89%K -7.06%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-02 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.