Language:English
Independiente Rivadavia v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Independiente Rivadavia (Local)
Prediction 64.29%1.56fair odd
EV -4.20%
Edge -2.82%
Kelly -8.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.94%64.26%64.35%65.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.441.441.4973.53%69.55%69.44%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visit)
Prediction 12.26%8.16fair odd
EV +11.15%
Edge +1.23%
Kelly +1.38%
Growth +0.154%
assuming max odds 9.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.58%12.29%12.24%13.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.657.509.0715.38%13.06%13.33%11.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.45%4.26fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.357%
Kelly -0.469%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.78%23.45%23.41%25.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.903.924.2027.78%25.62%25.48%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Independiente Rivadavia (Local): 64.29%; Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visit): 12.26%; Draw: 23.45%. For Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.16. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.15%.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.38%EV -4.20%E -2.82%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 9.07I 11.03%NM 10.58%EV +11.15%E +1.23%K +1.38%G +0.154% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -10.18%E -2.66%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.25%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.36%EV +4.17%E +0.490%K +0.556%G +0.023% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.38%EV -3.14%E -0.761%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.25%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.36%EV +4.17%E +0.490%K +0.556%G +0.023% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.38%EV -3.14%E -0.761%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.56%EV -5.49%E -3.73%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 8.39I 11.92%NM 11.49%EV +2.82%E +0.336%K +0.382%G +0.011% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV -1.50%E -0.357%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.78%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.31%EV +1.10%E +0.134%K +0.152%G +0.002% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 00:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.27%EV -5.49%E -3.73%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -1.96%E -0.245%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.36%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.15%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -1.96%E -0.245%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -3.84%E -0.938%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 00:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.59%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -1.96%E -0.245%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.36%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%EV -8.06%E -5.64%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -1.96%E -0.245%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.94%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -1.96%E -0.245%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.67%EV -8.70%E -6.13%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -1.96%E -0.245%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -9.71%E -2.52%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.19%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -1.96%E -0.245%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 00:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.86%EV -4.20%E -2.82%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.05%EV -3.18%E -0.403%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -7.36%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.86%EV -4.20%E -2.82%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.05%EV -3.18%E -0.403%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -7.36%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.74%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.95%EV -4.41%E -0.565%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.35%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.62%EV -5.02%E -0.648%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -3.84%E -0.938%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 14:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.12%EV -6.13%E -4.20%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 00:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.12%EV -6.13%E -4.20%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 00:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.70%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -9.71%E -2.52%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 00:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.88%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.31%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.88%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 00:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-07 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.90%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -13.23%E -3.57%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.43%EV -11.28%E -8.17%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.71%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.56%EV -12.56%E -9.24%K -34.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.71%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -13.23%E -3.57%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.53%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -11.15%E -1.54%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 00:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -14.21%E -2.03%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -14.21%E -2.03%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.88%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-06 04:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.68%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.74%EV -14.21%E -2.03%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.58%EV -11.35%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.94%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -14.21%E -2.03%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -15.57%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-07 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.48%EV -11.28%E -8.17%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.52%EV -14.21%E -2.03%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.00%EV -14.40%E -3.94%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.72%EV -8.06%E -5.64%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -17.28%E -2.56%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.35%EV -9.35%E -6.63%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -20.34%E -3.13%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.78% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.57% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.78% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.57% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.78% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.57% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.78% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.73% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.73% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
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