Idioma:Español
Independiente Rivadavia v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Independiente Rivadavia (Local)
Predicción 64.29%1.56momio equitativo
EV -4.20%
Ventaja -2.82%
Kelly -8.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.94%64.26%64.35%65.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.361.441.441.4973.53%69.55%69.44%67.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visitante)
Predicción 12.26%8.16momio equitativo
EV +11.15%
Ventaja +1.23%
Kelly +1.38%
Crecimiento +0.154%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.58%12.29%12.24%13.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.507.657.509.0715.38%13.06%13.33%11.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 23.45%4.26momio equitativo
EV -1.50%
Ventaja -0.357%
Kelly -0.469%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.78%23.45%23.41%25.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.903.924.2027.78%25.62%25.48%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Independiente Rivadavia (Local): 64.29%; Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visitante): 12.26%; Empate: 23.45%. Para Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 8.16. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 9.07, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +11.15%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.38%EV -4.20%E -2.82%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 9.07I 11.03%NM 10.58%EV +11.15%E +1.23%K +1.38%G +0.154% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -10.18%E -2.66%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.25%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.36%EV +4.17%E +0.490%K +0.556%G +0.023% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.38%EV -3.14%E -0.761%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.25%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.36%EV +4.17%E +0.490%K +0.556%G +0.023% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.38%EV -3.14%E -0.761%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.56%EV -5.49%E -3.73%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 8.39I 11.92%NM 11.49%EV +2.82%E +0.336%K +0.382%G +0.011% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV -1.50%E -0.357%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.78%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.31%EV +1.10%E +0.134%K +0.152%G +0.002% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 00:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.27%EV -5.49%E -3.73%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -1.96%E -0.245%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.36%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.15%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -1.96%E -0.245%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -3.84%E -0.938%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 00:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.59%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -1.96%E -0.245%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.36%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%EV -8.06%E -5.64%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -1.96%E -0.245%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.94%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -1.96%E -0.245%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.67%EV -8.70%E -6.13%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -1.96%E -0.245%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -9.71%E -2.52%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.19%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -1.96%E -0.245%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 00:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.86%EV -4.20%E -2.82%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.05%EV -3.18%E -0.403%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -7.36%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.86%EV -4.20%E -2.82%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.05%EV -3.18%E -0.403%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -7.36%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.74%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.95%EV -4.41%E -0.565%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.35%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.62%EV -5.02%E -0.648%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -3.84%E -0.938%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 14:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.12%EV -6.13%E -4.20%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 00:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.12%EV -6.13%E -4.20%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 00:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.70%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -9.71%E -2.52%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 00:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.88%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.31%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.88%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 00:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-07 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.90%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -13.23%E -3.57%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.43%EV -11.28%E -8.17%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.71%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.56%EV -12.56%E -9.24%K -34.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.71%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -13.23%E -3.57%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.53%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -11.15%E -1.54%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 00:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -14.21%E -2.03%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -14.21%E -2.03%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.88%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-06 04:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.68%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.74%EV -14.21%E -2.03%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.58%EV -11.35%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.94%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -14.21%E -2.03%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -15.57%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-07 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.48%EV -11.28%E -8.17%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.52%EV -14.21%E -2.03%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.00%EV -14.40%E -3.94%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.72%EV -8.06%E -5.64%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -17.28%E -2.56%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.35%EV -9.35%E -6.63%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -20.34%E -3.13%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.78% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.57% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.78% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.57% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.78% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.57% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.78% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.73% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 00:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.73% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |