Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Independiente Rivadavia v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 00:45 UTC

Score final : Independiente Rivadavia 2–1 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Independiente Rivadavia (Local)

Prévision 64.29%1.56cote équitable
EV -4.20%
Avantage -2.82%
Kelly -8.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.94%64.26%64.35%65.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.361.441.441.4973.53%69.55%69.44%67.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.26%8.16cote équitable
EV +11.15%
Avantage +1.23%
Kelly +1.38%
Croissance +0.154%

avec la cote maximale 9.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.58%12.29%12.24%13.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.507.657.509.0715.38%13.06%13.33%11.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.45%4.26cote équitable
EV -1.50%
Avantage -0.357%
Kelly -0.469%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.78%23.45%23.41%25.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.903.924.2027.78%25.62%25.48%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Independiente Rivadavia (Local) : 64.29% ; Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visiteur) : 12.26% ; Match nul : 23.45%. Pour Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 8.16. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 9.07, soit une espérance positive de +11.15%.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.38%EV -4.20%E -2.82%K -8.58%G +0.000%9.07I 11.03%NM 10.58%EV +11.15%E +1.23%K +1.38%G +0.154%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -10.18%E -2.66%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 00:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.25%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.36%EV +4.17%E +0.490%K +0.556%G +0.023%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.38%EV -3.14%E -0.761%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-07 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.25%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.36%EV +4.17%E +0.490%K +0.556%G +0.023%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.38%EV -3.14%E -0.761%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-07 23:05
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.56%EV -5.49%E -3.73%K -11.68%G +0.000%8.39I 11.92%NM 11.49%EV +2.82%E +0.336%K +0.382%G +0.011%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV -1.50%E -0.357%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 00:40
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.78%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.86%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.31%EV +1.10%E +0.134%K +0.152%G +0.002%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 00:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.27%EV -5.49%E -3.73%K -11.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -1.96%E -0.245%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.36%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 00:40
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.15%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -1.96%E -0.245%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -3.84%E -0.938%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 00:30
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.59%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -1.96%E -0.245%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.36%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 00:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%EV -8.06%E -5.64%K -18.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -1.96%E -0.245%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 00:35
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.94%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.51%EV -1.96%E -0.245%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 00:35
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.67%EV -8.70%E -6.13%K -20.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -1.96%E -0.245%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -9.71%E -2.52%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 00:35
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.19%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -1.96%E -0.245%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 00:30
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.86%EV -4.20%E -2.82%K -8.58%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.05%EV -3.18%E -0.403%K -0.461%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -7.36%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 00:40
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.86%EV -4.20%E -2.82%K -8.58%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.05%EV -3.18%E -0.403%K -0.461%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -7.36%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 00:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.74%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.86%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.95%EV -4.41%E -0.565%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 00:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.35%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.62%EV -5.02%E -0.648%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-08 00:35
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -3.84%E -0.938%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 14:44
Bovada🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.12%EV -6.13%E -4.20%K -13.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 00:29
BetAnything🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.12%EV -6.13%E -4.20%K -13.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 00:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 00:40
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 21:45
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.70%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -9.71%E -2.52%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 00:20
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.88%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 00:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.31%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.88%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 00:30
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-07 22:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.90%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -13.23%E -3.57%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 00:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.43%EV -11.28%E -8.17%K -29.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.71%EV -12.05%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 00:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.56%EV -12.56%E -9.24%K -34.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.71%EV -8.09%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -13.23%E -3.57%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-08 00:40
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.53%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -11.15%E -1.54%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 00:15
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -14.21%E -2.03%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 00:40
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -14.21%E -2.03%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.88%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-06 04:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.68%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.74%EV -14.21%E -2.03%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.58%EV -11.35%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 00:40
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.94%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -14.21%E -2.03%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -15.57%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-07 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.48%EV -11.28%E -8.17%K -29.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.52%EV -14.21%E -2.03%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.00%EV -14.40%E -3.94%K -5.43%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-08 00:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.72%EV -8.06%E -5.64%K -18.75%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -17.28%E -2.56%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 00:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.35%EV -9.35%E -6.63%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -20.34%E -3.13%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 00:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.78%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65%0.7%2026-08-08 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.78%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65%0.7%2026-08-08 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.78%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65%0.7%2026-08-08 00:40
Smarkets◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.78%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%1.3%2026-08-08 00:40
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 65.73%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51%2.1%2026-08-08 00:25