預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Independiente v San Lorenzo

開賽時間: 2026-09-13 22:15 UTC

最終賽果: Independiente 1–1 San Lorenzo

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

38 家博彩公司 (17 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Independiente (主隊)

預測 45.50%2.20公平賠率
EV -2.17%
優勢 -1.01%
Kelly -1.89%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.15

博彩公司預測分布
44.16%45.54%45.37%47.64%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.852.032.052.1554.05%49.27%48.78%46.51%最小值平均值中位數最大值

San Lorenzo (客隊)

預測 22.81%4.38公平賠率
EV -1.69%
優勢 -0.392%
Kelly -0.510%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.31

博彩公司預測分布
21.83%22.80%22.91%25.15%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.604.034.004.3127.78%24.82%25.00%23.20%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 31.69%3.16公平賠率
EV -1.76%
優勢 -0.568%
Kelly -0.839%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.10

博彩公司預測分布
30.11%31.66%31.72%32.56%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.752.942.953.1036.36%34.04%33.90%32.26%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Independiente (主隊):45.50%;San Lorenzo (客隊):22.81%;和局:31.69%。 對於「San Lorenzo (客隊)」,該估計相當於4.38的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為4.31,期望值為-1.69%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (38 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.92%EV -2.17%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -4.20%E -1.000%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.09%EV -4.61%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 04:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.92%EV -2.17%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -4.20%E -1.000%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.09%EV -4.61%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 04:00
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.92%EV -2.17%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -4.20%E -1.000%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.09%EV -4.61%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 04:00
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.63%EV -3.54%E -1.67%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.44%EV -1.69%E -0.392%K -0.510%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.93%EV -3.98%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 22:05
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.27%EV -3.54%E -1.67%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.47%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.26%EV -2.71%E -0.883%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 22:10
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.20%E -1.000%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 21:44
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.48%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 21:40
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 21:45
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.42%EV -5.36%E -2.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -3.06%E -0.720%K -0.941%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.35%EV -7.47%E -2.56%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 22:10
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.42%EV -5.36%E -2.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -3.06%E -0.720%K -0.941%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.35%EV -7.47%E -2.56%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 22:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.56%EV -5.81%E -2.81%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -6.48%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 21:50
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -4.20%E -1.000%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 21:50
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -1.92%E -0.446%K -0.581%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 21:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 21:50
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 21:55
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -6.48%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 21:45
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.76%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 21:50
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -6.48%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -9.68%E -3.40%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 22:10
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.76%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 21:00
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -14.46%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 20:56
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -15.60%E -4.22%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 21:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -17.88%E -4.97%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 21:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.73%EV -7.18%E -3.52%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -4.20%E -1.000%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.06%EV -7.78%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 22:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.74%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -12.18%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.50%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 21:50
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.76%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.27%E -4.02%K -6.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.76%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.27%E -4.02%K -6.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 22:00
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -13.32%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.27%EV -12.85%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-13 21:45
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52%EV -10.36%E -5.26%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -4.20%E -1.000%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -1.76%E -0.568%K -0.839%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 22:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.64%EV -10.82%E -5.52%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.20%E -1.000%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -1.76%E -0.568%K -0.839%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 22:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.72%EV -10.82%E -5.52%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -14.46%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 21:50
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -12.18%E -6.31%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.20%E -1.000%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 21:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.49%EV -12.18%E -6.31%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.81%EV -12.18%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.70%EV -12.22%E -4.41%K -6.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-13 21:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.74%EV -12.64%E -6.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -13.32%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.14%EV -10.63%E -3.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-13 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.06%EV -13.55%E -7.13%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.64%EV -9.90%E -2.51%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.06%EV -13.55%E -7.13%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.64%EV -9.90%E -2.51%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 22:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.42%EV -14.00%E -7.41%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -12.18%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -9.68%E -3.40%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 21:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.20%EV -15.82%E -8.55%K -18.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.68%EV -12.18%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-13 22:10
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47%1.0%2026-09-13 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34%1.4%2026-09-13 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34%1.4%2026-09-13 21:35
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.03%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.54%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%2.0%2026-09-13 21:20
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.23%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.20%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.57%2.4%2026-09-13 21:55