语言:简体中文
Independiente v San Lorenzo
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Independiente (主队)
预测 45.50%2.20公平赔率
EV -2.17%
优势 -1.01%
Kelly -1.89%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.15
博彩公司预测分布
44.16%45.54%45.37%47.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.852.032.052.1554.05%49.27%48.78%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
San Lorenzo (客队)
预测 22.81%4.38公平赔率
EV -1.69%
优势 -0.392%
Kelly -0.510%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.31
博彩公司预测分布
21.83%22.80%22.91%25.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.604.034.004.3127.78%24.82%25.00%23.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 31.69%3.16公平赔率
EV -1.76%
优势 -0.568%
Kelly -0.839%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.10
博彩公司预测分布
30.11%31.66%31.72%32.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.942.953.1036.36%34.04%33.90%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Independiente (主队)：45.50%；San Lorenzo (客队)：22.81%；平局：31.69%。 对于“San Lorenzo (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.38。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为4.31，期望值为-1.69%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.92%EV -2.17%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -4.20%E -1.000%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.09%EV -4.61%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 04:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.92%EV -2.17%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -4.20%E -1.000%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.09%EV -4.61%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 04:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.92%EV -2.17%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -4.20%E -1.000%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.09%EV -4.61%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 04:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.63%EV -3.54%E -1.67%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.44%EV -1.69%E -0.392%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.93%EV -3.98%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 22:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.27%EV -3.54%E -1.67%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.47%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.26%EV -2.71%E -0.883%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 22:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.20%E -1.000%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 21:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.48%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 21:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 21:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.42%EV -5.36%E -2.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -3.06%E -0.720%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.35%EV -7.47%E -2.56%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 22:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.42%EV -5.36%E -2.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -3.06%E -0.720%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.35%EV -7.47%E -2.56%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 22:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.56%EV -5.81%E -2.81%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -6.48%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 21:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -4.20%E -1.000%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 21:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -1.92%E -0.446%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 21:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -6.48%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-13 21:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.76%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-13 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -6.48%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -9.68%E -3.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 22:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.76%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 21:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -14.46%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 20:56 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -15.60%E -4.22%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 21:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -17.88%E -4.97%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-13 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.73%EV -7.18%E -3.52%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -4.20%E -1.000%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.06%EV -7.78%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 22:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.74%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -12.18%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.50%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.76%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.27%E -4.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 21:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.76%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.27%E -4.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 22:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -13.32%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.27%EV -12.85%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-13 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52%EV -10.36%E -5.26%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -4.20%E -1.000%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -1.76%E -0.568%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.64%EV -10.82%E -5.52%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.20%E -1.000%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -1.76%E -0.568%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 22:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.72%EV -10.82%E -5.52%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -14.46%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 21:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -12.18%E -6.31%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.20%E -1.000%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 21:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.49%EV -12.18%E -6.31%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.81%EV -12.18%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.70%EV -12.22%E -4.41%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-13 21:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.74%EV -12.64%E -6.58%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -13.32%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.14%EV -10.63%E -3.77%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-13 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.06%EV -13.55%E -7.13%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.64%EV -9.90%E -2.51%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-13 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.06%EV -13.55%E -7.13%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.64%EV -9.90%E -2.51%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-13 22:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.42%EV -14.00%E -7.41%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -12.18%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -9.68%E -3.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-13 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.20%EV -15.82%E -8.55%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.68%EV -12.18%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-13 22:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.24% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34% | 1.4% | 2026-09-13 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.24% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34% | 1.4% | 2026-09-13 21:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.03% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.54% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43% | 2.0% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.23% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.20% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.57% | 2.4% | 2026-09-13 21:55 |