Langue:Français
Independiente v San Lorenzo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Independiente (Local)
Prévision 45.50%2.20cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.89%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.16%45.54%45.37%47.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.852.032.052.1554.05%49.27%48.78%46.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
San Lorenzo (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.81%4.38cote équitable
EV -1.69%
Avantage -0.392%
Kelly -0.510%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.83%22.80%22.91%25.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.604.034.004.3127.78%24.82%25.00%23.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 31.69%3.16cote équitable
EV -1.76%
Avantage -0.568%
Kelly -0.839%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.11%31.66%31.72%32.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.942.953.1036.36%34.04%33.90%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Independiente (Local) : 45.50% ; San Lorenzo (Visiteur) : 22.81% ; Match nul : 31.69%. Pour San Lorenzo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.38. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.31, pour une espérance de -1.69% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.92%EV -2.17%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -4.20%E -1.000%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.09%EV -4.61%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 04:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.92%EV -2.17%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -4.20%E -1.000%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.09%EV -4.61%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 04:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.92%EV -2.17%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -4.20%E -1.000%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.09%EV -4.61%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 04:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.63%EV -3.54%E -1.67%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.44%EV -1.69%E -0.392%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.93%EV -3.98%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 22:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.27%EV -3.54%E -1.67%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.47%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.26%EV -2.71%E -0.883%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 22:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.20%E -1.000%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 21:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.48%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 21:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 21:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.42%EV -5.36%E -2.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -3.06%E -0.720%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.35%EV -7.47%E -2.56%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 22:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.42%EV -5.36%E -2.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -3.06%E -0.720%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.35%EV -7.47%E -2.56%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 22:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.56%EV -5.81%E -2.81%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -6.48%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 21:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -4.20%E -1.000%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 21:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -1.92%E -0.446%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 21:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.76%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -6.48%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-13 21:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.76%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-13 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -6.48%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -9.68%E -3.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 22:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.76%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 21:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -14.46%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 20:56 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -15.60%E -4.22%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 21:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -6.72%E -3.28%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -17.88%E -4.97%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-13 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.73%EV -7.18%E -3.52%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -4.20%E -1.000%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.06%EV -7.78%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 22:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.74%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -12.18%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.50%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.76%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.27%E -4.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 21:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.76%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.27%E -4.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 22:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -13.32%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.27%EV -12.85%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-13 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52%EV -10.36%E -5.26%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -4.20%E -1.000%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -1.76%E -0.568%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.64%EV -10.82%E -5.52%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.20%E -1.000%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -1.76%E -0.568%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 22:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.72%EV -10.82%E -5.52%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -14.46%E -3.86%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 21:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -12.18%E -6.31%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.20%E -1.000%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -4.93%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 21:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.49%EV -12.18%E -6.31%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.81%EV -12.18%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.70%EV -12.22%E -4.41%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-13 21:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.74%EV -12.64%E -6.58%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -13.32%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.14%EV -10.63%E -3.77%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-13 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.06%EV -13.55%E -7.13%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.64%EV -9.90%E -2.51%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-13 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.06%EV -13.55%E -7.13%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.64%EV -9.90%E -2.51%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-13 22:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.42%EV -14.00%E -7.41%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -12.18%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -9.68%E -3.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-13 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.20%EV -15.82%E -8.55%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.68%EV -12.18%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -8.10%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-13 22:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.51% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.24% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34% | 1.4% | 2026-09-13 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.24% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34% | 1.4% | 2026-09-13 21:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.03% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.54% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43% | 2.0% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.23% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.20% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.57% | 2.4% | 2026-09-13 21:55 |