Language:English
Independiente v Independiente Rivadavia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Independiente (Local)
Prediction 39.10%2.56fair odd
EV +0.091%
Edge +0.036%
Kelly +0.058%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.55%39.21%39.17%41.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.352.382.5647.62%42.58%42.02%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Independiente Rivadavia (Visit)
Prediction 28.80%3.47fair odd
EV +2.24%
Edge +0.631%
Kelly +0.879%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.45%28.68%28.76%31.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.243.303.5534.72%30.84%30.30%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.10%3.12fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.56%32.11%32.07%33.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.882.903.0137.04%34.71%34.48%33.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Independiente (Local): 39.10%; Independiente Rivadavia (Visit): 28.80%; Draw: 32.10%. For Independiente Rivadavia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV +2.24%E +0.631%K +0.879%G +0.020% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 21:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV +2.24%E +0.631%K +0.879%G +0.020% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 21:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -13.98%E -6.36%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.640%E -0.185%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -6.90%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 21:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -2.08%E -0.612%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -8.51%E -2.99%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 21:23 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.21%EV -5.38%E -2.22%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.07%EV -2.66%E -0.786%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.72%EV -6.90%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 21:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.38%E -2.22%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -3.52%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.49%EV -6.26%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 21:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.38%E -2.22%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -3.52%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.49%EV -6.26%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 21:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -3.52%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -8.51%E -2.99%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 21:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.83%EV +0.091%E +0.036%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.00%EV -3.81%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.17%EV -6.26%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-22 21:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -6.95%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -3.81%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -8.83%E -3.11%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 21:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.64%EV -2.25%E -0.902%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.09%EV -3.37%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-22 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.64%EV -2.25%E -0.902%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.09%EV -3.37%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-22 21:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.64%EV -2.25%E -0.902%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.09%EV -3.37%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-22 21:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 21:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -5.38%E -2.22%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -6.90%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 21:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -8.51%E -2.99%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 21:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.67%EV -17.11%E -8.07%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-22 21:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.67%EV -17.11%E -8.07%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-22 21:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -17.89%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -11.72%E -4.26%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-22 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -3.69%E -1.23%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 21:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -6.90%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 21:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -11.72%E -4.26%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 21:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -11.72%E -4.26%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 21:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.95%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.69%E -1.23%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 21:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -6.95%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 21:23 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.90%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 21:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -6.90%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 21:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -13.32%E -4.94%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-22 21:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 39.31%EV -11.25%E -4.95%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.60%EV -10.14%E -3.25%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.10%EV -10.76%E -3.87%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-22 21:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.69%E -1.23%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 21:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.90%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 21:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -13.98%E -6.36%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -11.72%E -4.26%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-22 21:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -12.16%E -3.99%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -8.51%E -2.99%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-22 21:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -11.72%E -4.26%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-22 21:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -4.21%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -15.04%E -5.10%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -6.90%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 21:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -4.21%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -16.48%E -5.68%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -8.51%E -2.99%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 21:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -2.25%E -0.902%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -17.06%E -5.92%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -7.55%E -2.62%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 21:03 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.60% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-08-22 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.75% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86% | 1.4% | 2026-08-22 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.75% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86% | 1.4% | 2026-08-22 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.75% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86% | 1.4% | 2026-08-22 21:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92% | 4.4% | 2026-08-22 21:25 |