默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Independiente v Independiente Rivadavia

开赛时间: 2026-08-22 21:30 UTC

最终结果: Independiente 0–0 Independiente Rivadavia

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

37 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Independiente (主队)

预测 39.10%2.56公平赔率
EV +0.091%
优势 +0.036%
Kelly +0.058%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.56

博彩公司预测分布
36.55%39.21%39.17%41.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.352.382.5647.62%42.58%42.02%39.06%最小值均值中位数最大值

Independiente Rivadavia (客队)

预测 28.80%3.47公平赔率
EV +2.24%
优势 +0.631%
Kelly +0.879%
增长率 +0.020%

假设最高赔率为 3.55

博彩公司预测分布
26.45%28.68%28.76%31.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.883.243.303.5534.72%30.84%30.30%28.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 32.10%3.12公平赔率
EV -3.37%
优势 -1.12%
Kelly -1.68%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.01

博彩公司预测分布
30.56%32.11%32.07%33.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.882.903.0137.04%34.71%34.48%33.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Independiente (主队):39.10%;Independiente Rivadavia (客队):28.80%;平局:32.10%。 对于“Independiente Rivadavia (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.47。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.55,对应+2.24%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV +2.24%E +0.631%K +0.879%G +0.020%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 21:14
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV +2.24%E +0.631%K +0.879%G +0.020%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 21:14
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -13.98%E -6.36%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.640%E -0.185%K -0.261%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -6.90%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 21:14
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -2.08%E -0.612%K -0.867%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -8.51%E -2.99%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 21:23
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.21%EV -5.38%E -2.22%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.07%EV -2.66%E -0.786%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.72%EV -6.90%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 21:24
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.38%E -2.22%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -3.52%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.49%EV -6.26%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 21:20
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.38%E -2.22%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -3.52%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.49%EV -6.26%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 21:25
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -3.52%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -8.51%E -2.99%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 21:24
Pinnacle🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.83%EV +0.091%E +0.036%K +0.058%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.00%EV -3.81%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.17%EV -6.26%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-22 21:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -6.95%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -3.81%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -8.83%E -3.11%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 21:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.64%EV -2.25%E -0.902%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.09%EV -3.37%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 21:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.64%EV -2.25%E -0.902%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.09%EV -3.37%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 21:20
BetAnything🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.64%EV -2.25%E -0.902%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.09%EV -3.37%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 21:20
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 21:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -5.38%E -2.22%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -6.90%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 21:24
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -8.51%E -2.99%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 21:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.67%EV -17.11%E -8.07%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-22 21:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.67%EV -17.11%E -8.07%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-22 21:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -17.89%E -8.52%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -4.96%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -11.72%E -4.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-22 21:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -3.69%E -1.23%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 21:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -6.90%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 21:24
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -11.72%E -4.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 21:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -6.40%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -11.72%E -4.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 21:24
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.95%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.69%E -1.23%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 21:25
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -6.95%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 21:23
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.90%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 21:25
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -8.12%E -3.46%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -6.90%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 21:19
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -7.84%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -13.32%E -4.94%K -7.84%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-22 21:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 39.31%EV -11.25%E -4.95%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.60%EV -10.14%E -3.25%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.10%EV -10.76%E -3.87%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 21:24
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.69%E -1.23%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 21:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.90%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 21:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -13.98%E -6.36%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -10.72%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -11.72%E -4.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-22 21:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -12.16%E -3.99%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -8.51%E -2.99%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 21:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -13.60%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -11.72%E -4.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-22 21:25
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -4.21%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -15.04%E -5.10%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -6.90%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 21:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -4.21%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -16.48%E -5.68%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -8.51%E -2.99%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 21:19
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -2.25%E -0.902%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -17.06%E -5.92%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -7.55%E -2.62%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 21:03
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.60%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-08-22 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86%1.4%2026-08-22 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86%1.4%2026-08-22 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86%1.4%2026-08-22 21:25
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%4.4%2026-08-22 21:25