Langue:Français
Gimnasia Mendoza v Union Santa Fe
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Gimnasia Mendoza (Local)
Prévision 33.82%2.96cote équitable
EV +4.84%
Avantage +1.56%
Kelly +2.30%
Croissance +0.111%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.23%33.70%33.83%34.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.802.763.1038.46%35.73%36.17%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Union Santa Fe (Visiteur)
Prévision 35.70%2.80cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -0.664%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.70%35.92%35.62%39.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.322.562.582.7543.10%39.04%38.68%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 30.48%3.28cote équitable
EV -2.46%
Avantage -0.768%
Kelly -1.12%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.56%30.38%30.55%31.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.873.053.083.2034.84%32.80%32.52%31.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Gimnasia Mendoza (Local) : 33.82% ; Union Santa Fe (Visiteur) : 35.70% ; Match nul : 30.48%. Pour Gimnasia Mendoza (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.96. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.10, soit une espérance positive de +4.84%.
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV +4.84%E +1.56%K +2.30%G +0.111% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -13.25%E -5.45%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV +4.84%E +1.56%K +2.30%G +0.111% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -13.25%E -5.45%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV +4.84%E +1.56%K +2.30%G +0.111% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -14.32%E -5.97%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV +1.46%E +0.486%K +0.728%G +0.011% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -16.82%E -7.22%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-01 18:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV +1.46%E +0.486%K +0.728%G +0.011% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -16.82%E -7.22%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-01 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.57%EV -0.234%E -0.079%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.87%EV -17.18%E -7.40%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.57%EV -10.08%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-01 18:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.74%EV -2.94%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.22%EV -1.83%E -0.664%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.04%EV -4.90%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-01 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.67%EV -2.94%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.26%EV -2.18%E -0.797%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.07%EV -5.20%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 18:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.67%EV -2.94%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.26%EV -2.18%E -0.797%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.07%EV -5.20%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 18:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.67%EV -2.94%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.26%EV -2.18%E -0.797%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.07%EV -5.20%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -3.62%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -5.40%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.31%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -5.40%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 17:58 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.31%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -5.40%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 17:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.31%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.40%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 18:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.31%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-01 18:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -5.31%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-01 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -5.98%E -2.15%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.53%EV -4.33%E -1.61%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -3.98%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -5.98%E -2.15%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.53%EV -4.33%E -1.61%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -3.98%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 17:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.40%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-01 17:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -3.61%E -1.34%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 18:23 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 18:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -10.75%E -4.30%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 17:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -10.75%E -4.30%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-01 17:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.32%EV -8.01%E -2.95%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.32%EV -8.25%E -3.21%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.36%EV -3.07%E -0.965%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 18:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -8.69%E -3.22%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -5.40%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 17:53 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.69%E -3.22%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.75%E -4.30%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-01 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -8.69%E -3.22%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -8.97%E -3.52%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-01 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.69%E -3.22%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.75%E -4.30%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-01 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.69%E -3.22%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.75%E -4.30%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-01 18:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.49%EV -9.70%E -3.63%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.20%EV -11.82%E -4.79%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -10.08%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-01 18:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -10.38%E -3.92%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -10.75%E -4.30%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-01 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.39%E -4.35%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.75%E -4.30%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -2.46%E -0.768%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 18:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -12.07%E -4.64%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -12.54%E -5.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-01 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.80%EV -12.07%E -4.64%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.58%EV -11.82%E -4.79%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.62%EV -12.52%E -4.36%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-01 18:14 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-08-01 18:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-08-01 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-08-01 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.05% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.18% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.77% | 1.5% | 2026-08-01 18:10 |