Idioma:Español
Gimnasia Mendoza v Union Santa Fe
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gimnasia Mendoza (Local)
Predicción 33.82%2.96momio equitativo
EV +4.84%
Ventaja +1.56%
Kelly +2.30%
Crecimiento +0.111%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.23%33.70%33.83%34.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.802.763.1038.46%35.73%36.17%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Union Santa Fe (Visitante)
Predicción 35.70%2.80momio equitativo
EV -1.83%
Ventaja -0.664%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.70%35.92%35.62%39.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.322.562.582.7543.10%39.04%38.68%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 30.48%3.28momio equitativo
EV -2.46%
Ventaja -0.768%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.56%30.38%30.55%31.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.873.053.083.2034.84%32.80%32.52%31.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Gimnasia Mendoza (Local): 33.82%; Union Santa Fe (Visitante): 35.70%; Empate: 30.48%. Para Gimnasia Mendoza (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.96. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.10, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.84%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV +4.84%E +1.56%K +2.30%G +0.111% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -13.25%E -5.45%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV +4.84%E +1.56%K +2.30%G +0.111% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -13.25%E -5.45%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV +4.84%E +1.56%K +2.30%G +0.111% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -14.32%E -5.97%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV +1.46%E +0.486%K +0.728%G +0.011% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -16.82%E -7.22%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-01 18:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV +1.46%E +0.486%K +0.728%G +0.011% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -16.82%E -7.22%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-01 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.57%EV -0.234%E -0.079%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.87%EV -17.18%E -7.40%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.57%EV -10.08%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-01 18:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.74%EV -2.94%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.22%EV -1.83%E -0.664%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.04%EV -4.90%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-01 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.67%EV -2.94%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.26%EV -2.18%E -0.797%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.07%EV -5.20%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 18:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.67%EV -2.94%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.26%EV -2.18%E -0.797%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.07%EV -5.20%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 18:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.67%EV -2.94%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.26%EV -2.18%E -0.797%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.07%EV -5.20%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -3.62%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -5.40%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.31%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -5.40%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 17:58 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.31%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -5.40%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 17:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.31%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.40%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 18:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.31%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-01 18:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -5.31%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-01 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -5.98%E -2.15%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.53%EV -4.33%E -1.61%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -3.98%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -5.98%E -2.15%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.53%EV -4.33%E -1.61%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -3.98%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 17:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.40%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-01 17:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -3.61%E -1.34%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.18%E -2.76%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 18:23 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -6.47%E -2.47%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 18:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -10.75%E -4.30%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 17:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -10.75%E -4.30%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-01 17:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.32%EV -8.01%E -2.95%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.32%EV -8.25%E -3.21%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.36%EV -3.07%E -0.965%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 18:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -8.69%E -3.22%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -5.40%E -2.04%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 17:53 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.69%E -3.22%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.75%E -4.30%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-01 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -8.69%E -3.22%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -8.97%E -3.52%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-01 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.69%E -3.22%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.75%E -4.30%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-01 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -8.69%E -3.22%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.75%E -4.30%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-01 18:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.49%EV -9.70%E -3.63%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.20%EV -11.82%E -4.79%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -10.08%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-01 18:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -10.38%E -3.92%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -10.75%E -4.30%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-01 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.39%E -4.35%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.75%E -4.30%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -2.46%E -0.768%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 18:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -12.07%E -4.64%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -12.54%E -5.12%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-01 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.80%EV -12.07%E -4.64%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.58%EV -11.82%E -4.79%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.62%EV -12.52%E -4.36%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-01 18:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-08-01 18:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-08-01 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-08-01 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.05% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.18% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.77% | 1.5% | 2026-08-01 18:10 |