La scuola delle quote

Gimnasia Mendoza v Lanus

Inizio: 2026-04-21 00:45 UTC

Finale: Gimnasia Mendoza 1–0 Lanus

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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34 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Gimnasia Mendoza (Casa)

Previsione 29.80%3.36quota equa
EV +1.32%
Vantaggio +0.388%
Kelly +0.550%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.61%29.69%29.87%30.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.143.103.4034.48%31.84%32.26%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Lanus (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.42%2.82quota equa
EV -2.96%
Vantaggio -1.08%
Kelly -1.70%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.40%35.64%35.32%39.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.562.622.7443.48%39.02%38.17%36.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 34.78%2.87quota equa
EV +0.180%
Vantaggio +0.063%
Kelly +0.096%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.81%34.67%34.81%35.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.682.682.8841.67%37.38%37.31%34.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (34 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV +1.32%E +0.388%K +0.550%G +0.007%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV +0.180%E +0.063%K +0.096%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 00:20
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV +1.32%E +0.388%K +0.550%G +0.007%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV +0.180%E +0.063%K +0.096%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 00:20
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -0.171%E -0.051%K -0.073%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -15.71%E -6.60%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -0.863%E -0.303%K -0.467%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 00:20
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.66%E -0.503%K -0.722%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.83%EV -5.80%E -2.18%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 00:25
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.66%E -0.503%K -0.722%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.83%EV -5.80%E -2.18%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 00:25
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -1.66%E -0.503%K -0.722%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -17.84%E -7.69%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 00:40
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -1.66%E -0.503%K -0.722%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -17.84%E -7.69%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -3.15%E -0.969%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -18.54%E -8.06%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 00:40
Pinnacle3.24I 30.86%NM 29.87%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.32%EV -2.96%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.81%EV -3.30%E -1.19%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-21 00:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -8.86%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 00:30
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 00:29
BetAnything3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 00:29
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 00:29
Marathon Bet3.16I 31.65%NM 29.54%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 00:40
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.13%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 00:40
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.91%EV -5.09%E -1.90%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.91%EV -6.78%E -2.53%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 00:40
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.91%EV -5.09%E -1.90%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.91%EV -6.78%E -2.53%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 00:40
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 00:39
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 00:39
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 00:20
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -8.86%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 00:39
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 00:35
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 23:59
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 00:39
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-21 00:25
Betclic (FR)3.02I 33.11%NM 29.59%EV -10.00%E -3.31%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.04%EV -12.17%E -4.91%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-21 00:34
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 00:20
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.69%E -3.80%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 00:35
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.86%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 00:19
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 00:40
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -13.04%E -5.22%K -8.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -16.52%E -6.88%K -11.80%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-21 00:40
NetBet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.53%EV -12.09%E -4.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.30%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.17%EV -11.30%E -4.43%K -7.29%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-21 00:25
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.88%EV -13.23%E -5.40%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-21 00:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.87%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.36%0.3%2026-04-21 00:40
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.71%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.20%0.7%2026-04-21 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.71%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.20%0.7%2026-04-21 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.71%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.20%0.7%2026-04-21 00:40
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.62%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.12%1.7%2026-04-21 00:40