L’École des cotes

Gimnasia Mendoza v Lanus

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-21 00:45 UTC

Score final : Gimnasia Mendoza 1–0 Lanus

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gimnasia Mendoza (Local)

Prévision 29.80%3.36cote équitable
EV +1.32%
Avantage +0.388%
Kelly +0.550%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.61%29.69%29.87%30.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.143.103.4034.48%31.84%32.26%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Lanus (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.42%2.82cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.40%35.64%35.32%39.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.562.622.7443.48%39.02%38.17%36.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 34.78%2.87cote équitable
EV +0.180%
Avantage +0.063%
Kelly +0.096%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.81%34.67%34.81%35.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.682.682.8841.67%37.38%37.31%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV +1.32%E +0.388%K +0.550%G +0.007%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV +0.180%E +0.063%K +0.096%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 00:20
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV +1.32%E +0.388%K +0.550%G +0.007%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV +0.180%E +0.063%K +0.096%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 00:20
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -0.171%E -0.051%K -0.073%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -15.71%E -6.60%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -0.863%E -0.303%K -0.467%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 00:20
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.66%E -0.503%K -0.722%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.83%EV -5.80%E -2.18%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 00:25
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.66%E -0.503%K -0.722%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.83%EV -5.80%E -2.18%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 00:25
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -1.66%E -0.503%K -0.722%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -17.84%E -7.69%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 00:40
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -1.66%E -0.503%K -0.722%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -17.84%E -7.69%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -3.15%E -0.969%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -18.54%E -8.06%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 00:40
Pinnacle3.24I 30.86%NM 29.87%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.32%EV -2.96%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.81%EV -3.30%E -1.19%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-21 00:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -8.86%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 00:30
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 00:29
BetAnything3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 00:29
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 00:29
Marathon Bet3.16I 31.65%NM 29.54%EV -5.83%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 00:40
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.13%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 00:40
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.91%EV -5.09%E -1.90%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.91%EV -6.78%E -2.53%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 00:40
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.91%EV -5.09%E -1.90%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.91%EV -6.78%E -2.53%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 00:40
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 00:39
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 00:39
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -6.15%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 00:20
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -8.86%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 00:39
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 00:35
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 23:59
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 00:39
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-21 00:25
Betclic (FR)3.02I 33.11%NM 29.59%EV -10.00%E -3.31%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.04%EV -12.17%E -4.91%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-21 00:34
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 00:20
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.69%E -3.80%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 00:35
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.86%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 00:19
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 00:40
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.92%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -13.04%E -5.22%K -8.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -16.52%E -6.88%K -11.80%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-21 00:40
NetBet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.53%EV -12.09%E -4.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.30%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.17%EV -11.30%E -4.43%K -7.29%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-21 00:25
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.88%EV -13.23%E -5.40%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-21 00:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.87%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.36%0.3%2026-04-21 00:40
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.71%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.20%0.7%2026-04-21 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.71%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.20%0.7%2026-04-21 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.71%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.20%0.7%2026-04-21 00:40
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.62%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.12%1.7%2026-04-21 00:40