La scuola delle quote

Gimnasia Mendoza v Independiente

Inizio: 2026-02-25 01:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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31 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Gimnasia Mendoza (Casa)

Previsione 24.75%4.04quota equa
EV +0.227%
Vantaggio +0.056%
Kelly +0.074%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.90%24.85%24.76%26.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.693.704.0529.41%27.14%27.03%24.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Independiente (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.96%2.38quota equa
EV -3.49%
Vantaggio -1.52%
Kelly -2.69%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.81%41.91%42.04%43.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.212.232.3050.00%45.30%44.84%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 33.29%3.00quota equa
EV -1.78%
Vantaggio -0.605%
Kelly -0.915%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.97%33.24%33.19%33.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.452.792.802.9540.82%35.85%35.71%33.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle4.05I 24.69%NM 23.91%EV +0.227%E +0.056%K +0.074%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.11%EV -3.49%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.98%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-25 00:40
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.59%E -2.49%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.76%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 00:49
Betsson3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -5.59%E -2.49%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.92%EV -7.44%E -2.68%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 00:44
NordicBet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -7.69%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.28%EV -6.11%E -2.17%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 00:50
LowVig.ag3.86I 25.91%NM 24.66%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.30%EV -5.59%E -2.49%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.05%EV -4.12%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 23:19
BetOnline.ag3.86I 25.91%NM 24.66%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.30%EV -5.59%E -2.49%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.05%EV -4.12%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 23:19
BetAnything3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -4.72%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.59%E -2.49%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 00:49
Marathon Bet3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -5.47%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -6.43%E -2.88%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.78%EV -8.11%E -2.94%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 00:49
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.45%EV -3.49%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 00:35
DraftKings3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -5.59%E -2.49%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -5.59%E -2.49%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 00:30
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.04%EV -7.69%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-25 00:19
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -5.59%E -2.49%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 23:35
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -7.69%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 00:44
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.69%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-24 23:14
Paddy Power3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -9.79%E -4.55%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -10.11%E -3.74%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-25 00:49
Bet Right3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -9.67%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -7.69%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-25 00:29
Unibet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -4.33%E -1.90%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -1.78%E -0.605%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 00:45
Unibet (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -4.33%E -1.90%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -1.78%E -0.605%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 00:45
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -7.69%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.11%E -3.74%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-25 00:29
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.41%EV -9.79%E -4.55%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -12.44%E -4.73%K -7.63%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-24 22:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.01%EV -16.08%E -8.04%K -16.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -13.44%E -5.17%K -8.40%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-25 00:17
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -12.15%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -4.33%E -1.90%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 00:45
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -12.15%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.37%EV -9.79%E -4.55%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.97%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 23:34
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -3.49%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 00:49
LeoVegas (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.59%E -2.49%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -4.12%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 00:44
NetBet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.15%EV -13.14%E -6.35%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.92%EV -11.77%E -4.44%K -7.13%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-24 23:30
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -14.62%E -4.24%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -7.69%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-25 00:45
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -14.62%E -4.24%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -7.69%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-25 00:45
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -15.86%E -4.66%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -11.89%E -5.66%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-24 23:34
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 24.46%EV -15.86%E -4.66%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.59%EV -16.08%E -8.04%K -16.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 33.95%EV -18.43%E -7.52%K -12.71%G +0.000%20.2%2026-02-25 00:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.55%0.7%2026-02-25 00:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.55%0.7%2026-02-25 00:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.55%0.7%2026-02-25 00:50
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.55%0.7%2026-02-25 00:50
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.68%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.39%1.9%2026-02-25 00:49