La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Gimnasia Mendoza v Independiente
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gimnasia Mendoza (Local)
Predicción 24.75%4.04momio equitativo
EV +0.227%
Ventaja +0.056%
Kelly +0.074%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.90%24.85%24.76%26.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.693.704.0529.41%27.14%27.03%24.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Independiente (Visitante)
Predicción 41.96%2.38momio equitativo
EV -3.49%
Ventaja -1.52%
Kelly -2.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.81%41.91%42.04%43.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.212.232.3050.00%45.30%44.84%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 33.29%3.00momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -0.605%
Kelly -0.915%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.97%33.24%33.19%33.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.792.802.9540.82%35.85%35.71%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.91%EV +0.227%E +0.056%K +0.074%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.11%EV -3.49%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.98%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-25 00:40 |
| FanDuel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.59%E -2.49%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.76%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 00:49 |
| Betsson | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -5.59%E -2.49%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.92%EV -7.44%E -2.68%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 00:44 |
| NordicBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -7.69%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.28%EV -6.11%E -2.17%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-25 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.66%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.30%EV -5.59%E -2.49%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.05%EV -4.12%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 23:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.66%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.30%EV -5.59%E -2.49%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.05%EV -4.12%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 23:19 |
| BetAnything | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -4.72%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.59%E -2.49%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 00:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -5.47%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -6.43%E -2.88%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.78%EV -8.11%E -2.94%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-25 00:49 |
| Fanatics | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.45%EV -3.49%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 00:35 |
| DraftKings | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -5.59%E -2.49%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-24 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -5.59%E -2.49%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 00:30 |
| SportsBet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.04%EV -7.69%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-25 00:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -5.59%E -2.49%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-24 23:35 |
| BetMGM | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -7.69%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-25 00:44 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.69%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-24 23:14 |
| Paddy Power | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -9.79%E -4.55%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -10.11%E -3.74%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-25 00:49 |
| Bet Right | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -9.67%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -7.69%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-25 00:29 |
| Unibet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -4.33%E -1.90%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -1.78%E -0.605%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 00:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -4.33%E -1.90%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -1.78%E -0.605%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 00:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -7.69%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.11%E -3.74%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-25 00:29 |
| Sky Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.41%EV -9.79%E -4.55%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -12.44%E -4.73%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-24 22:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.01%EV -16.08%E -8.04%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -13.44%E -5.17%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-02-25 00:17 |
| BetRivers | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -12.15%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -4.33%E -1.90%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 00:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -12.15%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.37%EV -9.79%E -4.55%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.97%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-24 23:34 |
| Bovada | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -3.49%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 00:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.59%E -2.49%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -4.12%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 00:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.15%EV -13.14%E -6.35%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.92%EV -11.77%E -4.44%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-02-24 23:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -14.62%E -4.24%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -7.69%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-25 00:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -14.62%E -4.24%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -7.69%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-25 00:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -15.86%E -4.66%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -11.89%E -5.66%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-02-24 23:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.46%EV -15.86%E -4.66%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.59%EV -16.08%E -8.04%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 33.95%EV -18.43%E -7.52%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-02-25 00:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.55% | 0.7% | 2026-02-25 00:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.55% | 0.7% | 2026-02-25 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.55% | 0.7% | 2026-02-25 00:50 |
| Matchbook | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.55% | 0.7% | 2026-02-25 00:50 |
| Smarkets | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.68% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.39% | 1.9% | 2026-02-25 00:49 |