L’École des cotes

Gimnasia Mendoza v Independiente

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-25 01:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

31 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gimnasia Mendoza (Local)

Prévision 24.75%4.04cote équitable
EV +0.227%
Avantage +0.056%
Kelly +0.074%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.90%24.85%24.76%26.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.693.704.0529.41%27.14%27.03%24.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Independiente (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.96%2.38cote équitable
EV -3.49%
Avantage -1.52%
Kelly -2.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.81%41.91%42.04%43.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.212.232.3050.00%45.30%44.84%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 33.29%3.00cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -0.605%
Kelly -0.915%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.97%33.24%33.19%33.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.792.802.9540.82%35.85%35.71%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle4.05I 24.69%NM 23.91%EV +0.227%E +0.056%K +0.074%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.11%EV -3.49%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.98%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-25 00:40
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.59%E -2.49%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.76%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 00:49
Betsson3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -5.59%E -2.49%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.92%EV -7.44%E -2.68%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 00:44
NordicBet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.49%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -7.69%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.28%EV -6.11%E -2.17%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 00:50
LowVig.ag3.86I 25.91%NM 24.66%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.30%EV -5.59%E -2.49%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.05%EV -4.12%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 23:19
BetOnline.ag3.86I 25.91%NM 24.66%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.30%EV -5.59%E -2.49%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.05%EV -4.12%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 23:19
BetAnything3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -4.72%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.59%E -2.49%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 00:49
Marathon Bet3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -5.47%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -6.43%E -2.88%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.78%EV -8.11%E -2.94%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 00:49
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.45%EV -3.49%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 00:35
DraftKings3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -5.59%E -2.49%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -5.59%E -2.49%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 00:30
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.04%EV -7.69%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-25 00:19
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -5.59%E -2.49%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 23:35
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -7.69%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 00:44
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.20%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.69%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-24 23:14
Paddy Power3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -9.79%E -4.55%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -10.11%E -3.74%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-25 00:49
Bet Right3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -9.67%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -7.69%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-25 00:29
Unibet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -4.33%E -1.90%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -1.78%E -0.605%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 00:45
Unibet (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -4.33%E -1.90%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -1.78%E -0.605%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 00:45
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -7.69%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.11%E -3.74%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-25 00:29
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.41%EV -9.79%E -4.55%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -12.44%E -4.73%K -7.63%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-24 22:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.01%EV -16.08%E -8.04%K -16.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -13.44%E -5.17%K -8.40%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-25 00:17
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -12.15%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -4.33%E -1.90%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 00:45
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -12.15%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.37%EV -9.79%E -4.55%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.97%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 23:34
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -3.49%E -1.52%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 00:49
LeoVegas (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.59%E -2.49%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -4.12%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 00:44
NetBet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.15%EV -13.14%E -6.35%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.92%EV -11.77%E -4.44%K -7.13%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-24 23:30
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -14.62%E -4.24%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -7.69%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-25 00:45
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -14.62%E -4.24%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -7.69%E -3.50%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-25 00:45
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -15.86%E -4.66%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -11.89%E -5.66%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-24 23:34
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 24.46%EV -15.86%E -4.66%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.59%EV -16.08%E -8.04%K -16.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 33.95%EV -18.43%E -7.52%K -12.71%G +0.000%20.2%2026-02-25 00:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.55%0.7%2026-02-25 00:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.55%0.7%2026-02-25 00:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.55%0.7%2026-02-25 00:50
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.55%0.7%2026-02-25 00:50
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.68%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.39%1.9%2026-02-25 00:49