The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Gimnasia Mendoza v Deportivo Riestra

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 17:30 UTC

Final: Gimnasia Mendoza 0–0 Deportivo Riestra

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gimnasia Mendoza (Local)

Prediction 39.35%2.54fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -0.976%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.42%39.61%39.37%42.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.332.382.4847.17%42.89%42.02%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Deportivo Riestra (Visit)

Prediction 27.90%3.58fair odd
EV +0.424%
Edge +0.118%
Kelly +0.163%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.08%27.76%27.94%29.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.343.353.6032.26%29.91%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 32.76%3.05fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.66%32.63%32.69%33.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.842.852.9538.02%35.25%35.09%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gimnasia Mendoza (Local): 39.35%; Deportivo Riestra (Visit): 27.90%; Draw: 32.76%. For Deportivo Riestra (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.424%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.94%EV -4.78%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV +0.424%E +0.118%K +0.163%G +0.001%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.21%EV -4.67%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-19 17:00
BetAnything🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.94%EV -4.78%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV +0.424%E +0.118%K +0.163%G +0.001%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.21%EV -4.67%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-19 17:00
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -12.26%E -5.50%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV +0.424%E +0.118%K +0.163%G +0.001%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -3.36%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 17:14
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.47%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -2.37%E -0.676%K -0.946%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.89%EV -3.69%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-19 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -11.47%E -5.10%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.37%E -0.676%K -0.946%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -3.36%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 17:25
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -11.47%E -5.10%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -2.37%E -0.676%K -0.946%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 14:01
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -14.23%E -6.53%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -2.37%E -0.676%K -0.946%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 17:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.94%EV -2.42%E -0.976%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.99%EV -3.76%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.07%EV -4.35%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 17:25
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.59%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -3.76%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.87%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 17:19
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 16:59
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.54%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 17:19
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -11.47%E -5.10%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-19 13:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.78%EV -15.80%E -7.38%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 17:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.78%EV -15.80%E -7.38%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 17:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.54%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.53%EV -5.71%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.88%EV -7.29%E -2.58%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 17:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -4.78%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 17:25
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -4.78%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 17:19
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -4.78%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 17:20
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 17:25
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 17:25
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -9.91%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 17:24
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 17:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -11.47%E -5.10%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 14:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 17:14
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 17:25
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -9.50%E -4.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.27%EV -16.59%E -7.82%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -9.91%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-19 17:25
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 17:14
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.80%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 17:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 39.60%EV -12.65%E -5.70%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.93%EV -12.54%E -4.69%K -7.51%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-19 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -9.50%E -4.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 17:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 39.50%EV -12.65%E -5.70%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.02%EV -12.69%E -4.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.48%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.80%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-19 17:22
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.52%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -13.85%E -5.26%K -8.49%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-19 17:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.47%E -5.10%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.52%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-19 17:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.40%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.70%0.9%2026-09-19 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.40%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.70%0.9%2026-09-19 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.56%1.3%2026-09-19 17:25
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%2.0%2026-09-19 17:20
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 38.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.85%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.16%2.6%2026-09-19 17:25