Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Gimnasia Mendoza v Deportivo Riestra

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 17:30 UTC

Score final : Gimnasia Mendoza 0–0 Deportivo Riestra

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Gimnasia Mendoza (Local)

Prévision 39.35%2.54cote équitable
EV -2.42%
Avantage -0.976%
Kelly -1.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.42%39.61%39.37%42.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.122.332.382.4847.17%42.89%42.02%40.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Deportivo Riestra (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.90%3.58cote équitable
EV +0.424%
Avantage +0.118%
Kelly +0.163%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.08%27.76%27.94%29.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.343.353.6032.26%29.91%29.85%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 32.76%3.05cote équitable
EV -3.36%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -1.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.66%32.63%32.69%33.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.632.842.852.9538.02%35.25%35.09%33.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Gimnasia Mendoza (Local) : 39.35% ; Deportivo Riestra (Visiteur) : 27.90% ; Match nul : 32.76%. Pour Deportivo Riestra (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.58. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.60, soit une espérance positive de +0.424%.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.94%EV -4.78%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV +0.424%E +0.118%K +0.163%G +0.001%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.21%EV -4.67%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-19 17:00
BetAnything🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.94%EV -4.78%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV +0.424%E +0.118%K +0.163%G +0.001%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.21%EV -4.67%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-19 17:00
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -12.26%E -5.50%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV +0.424%E +0.118%K +0.163%G +0.001%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -3.36%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 17:14
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.47%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -2.37%E -0.676%K -0.946%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.89%EV -3.69%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-19 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -11.47%E -5.10%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.37%E -0.676%K -0.946%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -3.36%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 17:25
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -11.47%E -5.10%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -2.37%E -0.676%K -0.946%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 14:01
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -14.23%E -6.53%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -2.37%E -0.676%K -0.946%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 17:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.94%EV -2.42%E -0.976%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.99%EV -3.76%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.07%EV -4.35%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 17:25
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.59%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -3.76%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.87%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 17:19
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 16:59
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.54%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 17:19
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -11.47%E -5.10%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-19 13:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.78%EV -15.80%E -7.38%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 17:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.78%EV -15.80%E -7.38%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 17:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.54%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.53%EV -5.71%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.88%EV -7.29%E -2.58%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 17:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -4.78%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 17:25
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -4.78%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 17:19
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -4.78%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 17:20
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 17:25
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 17:25
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -9.91%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 17:24
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 17:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -11.47%E -5.10%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 14:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 17:14
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 17:25
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -9.50%E -4.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.27%EV -16.59%E -7.82%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -9.91%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-19 17:25
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 17:14
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.80%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 17:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 39.60%EV -12.65%E -5.70%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.93%EV -12.54%E -4.69%K -7.51%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-19 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -9.50%E -4.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 17:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 39.50%EV -12.65%E -5.70%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.02%EV -12.69%E -4.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.48%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.80%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-19 17:22
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.52%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -13.85%E -5.26%K -8.49%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-19 17:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.47%E -5.10%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.52%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-19 17:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.40%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.70%0.9%2026-09-19 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.40%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.70%0.9%2026-09-19 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.56%1.3%2026-09-19 17:25
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%2.0%2026-09-19 17:20
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 38.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.85%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.16%2.6%2026-09-19 17:25