Idioma:Español
Gimnasia Mendoza v Deportivo Riestra
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gimnasia Mendoza (Local)
Predicción 39.35%2.54momio equitativo
EV -2.42%
Ventaja -0.976%
Kelly -1.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.42%39.61%39.37%42.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.122.332.382.4847.17%42.89%42.02%40.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Deportivo Riestra (Visitante)
Predicción 27.90%3.58momio equitativo
EV +0.424%
Ventaja +0.118%
Kelly +0.163%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.08%27.76%27.94%29.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.343.353.6032.26%29.91%29.85%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 32.76%3.05momio equitativo
EV -3.36%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -1.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.66%32.63%32.69%33.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.632.842.852.9538.02%35.25%35.09%33.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Gimnasia Mendoza (Local): 39.35%; Deportivo Riestra (Visitante): 27.90%; Empate: 32.76%. Para Deportivo Riestra (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.58. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.60, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.424%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (35 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.94%EV -4.78%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV +0.424%E +0.118%K +0.163%G +0.001% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.21%EV -4.67%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-19 17:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.94%EV -4.78%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV +0.424%E +0.118%K +0.163%G +0.001% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.21%EV -4.67%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-19 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -12.26%E -5.50%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV +0.424%E +0.118%K +0.163%G +0.001% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -3.36%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-19 17:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.47%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -2.37%E -0.676%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.89%EV -3.69%E -1.26%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -11.47%E -5.10%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -2.37%E -0.676%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -3.36%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -11.47%E -5.10%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -2.37%E -0.676%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -14.23%E -6.53%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -2.37%E -0.676%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-19 17:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.94%EV -2.42%E -0.976%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.99%EV -3.76%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.07%EV -4.35%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.59%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -3.76%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.87%EV -5.33%E -1.84%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-19 17:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 16:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.54%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-19 17:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -11.47%E -5.10%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-19 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.78%EV -15.80%E -7.38%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-19 17:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.78%EV -15.80%E -7.38%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-19 17:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.54%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.53%EV -5.71%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.88%EV -7.29%E -2.58%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 17:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -4.78%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -4.78%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 17:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -4.78%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 17:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -9.91%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -11.47%E -5.10%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-19 17:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -9.50%E -4.13%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.27%EV -16.59%E -7.82%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -9.91%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-19 17:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.60%EV -12.65%E -5.70%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.93%EV -12.54%E -4.69%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -9.50%E -4.13%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.50%EV -12.65%E -5.70%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.02%EV -12.69%E -4.05%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.48%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-19 17:22 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.52%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -13.85%E -5.26%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.47%E -5.10%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.52%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.40% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.70% | 0.9% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.40% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.70% | 0.9% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.56% | 1.3% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34% | 2.0% | 2026-09-19 17:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.85% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.16% | 2.6% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |