Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gimnasia La Plata v Rosario Central

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gimnasia La Plata (Local)

Prediction 28.20%3.55fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.375%
Kelly -0.525%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.21%28.15%28.24%29.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.293.303.5033.90%30.42%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rosario Central (Visit)

Prediction 37.40%2.67fair odd
EV +0.969%
Edge +0.359%
Kelly +0.570%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.59%37.45%37.34%38.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.462.462.7045.45%40.66%40.57%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 34.41%2.91fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.64%34.39%34.42%36.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.682.702.8040.82%37.28%37.04%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gimnasia La Plata (Local): 28.20%; Rosario Central (Visit): 37.40%; Draw: 34.41%. For Rosario Central (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.969%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -1.31%E -0.375%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%EV +0.969%E +0.359%K +0.570%G +0.006%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.96%EV -10.54%E -4.05%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 19:55
Pinnacle🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 28.00%EV -2.44%E -0.705%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.40%EV -3.14%E -1.21%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.60%EV -3.66%E -1.31%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-25 19:55
DraftKings🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -5.54%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 19:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.95%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 19:45
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.95%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 19:44
Bovada🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.54%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -8.82%E -3.33%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 19:54
BetOnline.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -1.31%E -0.375%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.79%EV -5.76%E -2.29%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.01%EV -6.41%E -2.36%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -1.31%E -0.375%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.79%EV -5.76%E -2.29%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.01%EV -6.41%E -2.36%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 18:04
BetAnything🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -1.31%E -0.375%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.79%EV -5.76%E -2.29%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.01%EV -6.41%E -2.36%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 18:05
Betsson🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.95%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.17%EV -5.76%E -2.29%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.44%EV -6.41%E -2.36%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 19:35
NordicBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.95%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.17%EV -5.76%E -2.29%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.44%EV -6.41%E -2.36%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 19:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.11%EV -6.39%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.19%EV -6.14%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.70%EV -7.44%E -2.77%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 19:55
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.13%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 19:45
Everygame🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.13%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 19:34
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.95%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 19:42
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.77%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 19:44
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.36%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -8.82%E -3.33%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 19:45
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -4.13%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.24%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -3.66%E -1.31%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 19:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -4.13%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.24%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -3.66%E -1.31%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 19:30
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.13%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.13%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 19:45
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.13%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 19:45
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.95%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-25 19:44
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -9.77%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-25 17:10
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -11.18%E -3.55%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-25 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.54%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -9.13%E -3.76%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 19:30
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.95%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-25 16:34
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.77%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -8.82%E -3.33%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-25 19:35
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.77%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -9.85%E -3.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-25 19:44
Betclic (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -11.18%E -3.55%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -10.54%E -4.05%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-25 19:44
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -12.59%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -12.26%E -4.81%K -7.91%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-25 19:44
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.36%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -11.00%E -4.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-25 19:54
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.36%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -11.00%E -4.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-25 19:55
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.59%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -11.00%E -4.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -9.51%E -3.62%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-25 19:44
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -15.41%E -5.14%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -12.12%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -10.54%E -4.05%K -6.59%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-25 19:45
NetBet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -12.59%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.62%EV -13.24%E -5.71%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -12.26%E -4.81%K -7.91%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-25 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -12.59%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.08%EV -15.86%E -7.05%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.28%EV -13.98%E -5.59%K -9.32%G +0.000%16.7%2026-02-25 19:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 28.21%EV -16.82%E -5.70%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.83%EV -17.73%E -8.06%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 33.97%EV -15.70%E -6.41%K -10.83%G +0.000%20.2%2026-02-25 19:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%0.6%2026-02-25 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%0.6%2026-02-25 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%0.6%2026-02-25 19:55
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%0.6%2026-02-25 19:55
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.34%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.19%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.48%2.3%2026-02-25 19:55