La escuela de los momios

Gimnasia La Plata v Rosario Central

Inicio: 2026-02-25 20:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Gimnasia La Plata (Local)

Predicción 28.20%3.55momio equitativo
EV -1.31%
Ventaja -0.375%
Kelly -0.525%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.21%28.15%28.24%29.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.293.303.5033.90%30.42%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rosario Central (Visitante)

Predicción 37.40%2.67momio equitativo
EV +0.969%
Ventaja +0.359%
Kelly +0.570%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.59%37.45%37.34%38.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.462.462.7045.45%40.66%40.57%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 34.41%2.91momio equitativo
EV -3.66%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -2.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.64%34.39%34.42%36.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.682.702.8040.82%37.28%37.04%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -1.31%E -0.375%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%EV +0.969%E +0.359%K +0.570%G +0.006%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.96%EV -10.54%E -4.05%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 19:55
Pinnacle3.46I 28.90%NM 28.00%EV -2.44%E -0.705%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.40%EV -3.14%E -1.21%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.60%EV -3.66%E -1.31%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-25 19:55
DraftKings3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -5.54%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 19:55
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.95%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 19:45
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.95%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 19:44
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.54%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -8.82%E -3.33%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 19:54
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -1.31%E -0.375%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.79%EV -5.76%E -2.29%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.01%EV -6.41%E -2.36%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 18:05
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -1.31%E -0.375%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.79%EV -5.76%E -2.29%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.01%EV -6.41%E -2.36%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 18:04
BetAnything3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -1.31%E -0.375%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.79%EV -5.76%E -2.29%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.01%EV -6.41%E -2.36%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 18:05
Betsson3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.95%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.17%EV -5.76%E -2.29%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.44%EV -6.41%E -2.36%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 19:35
NordicBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.95%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.17%EV -5.76%E -2.29%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.44%EV -6.41%E -2.36%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 19:35
Marathon Bet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.11%EV -6.39%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.19%EV -6.14%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.70%EV -7.44%E -2.77%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 19:55
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.13%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 19:45
Everygame3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.13%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 19:34
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.95%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 19:42
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.77%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 19:44
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.36%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -8.82%E -3.33%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 19:45
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -4.13%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.24%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -3.66%E -1.31%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 19:35
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -4.13%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.24%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -3.66%E -1.31%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 19:30
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.13%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.13%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 19:45
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.13%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 19:45
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.95%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-25 19:44
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -9.77%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-25 17:10
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -11.18%E -3.55%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-25 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.54%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -9.13%E -3.76%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 19:30
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.95%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-25 16:34
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.77%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -8.82%E -3.33%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-25 19:35
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.77%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -9.85%E -3.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-25 19:44
Betclic (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -11.18%E -3.55%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -10.54%E -4.05%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-25 19:44
Parions Sport (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -12.59%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -12.26%E -4.81%K -7.91%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-25 19:44
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.36%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -11.00%E -4.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-25 19:54
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.36%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -11.00%E -4.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-25 19:55
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.59%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -11.00%E -4.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -9.51%E -3.62%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-25 19:44
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -15.41%E -5.14%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -12.12%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -10.54%E -4.05%K -6.59%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-25 19:45
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -12.59%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.62%EV -13.24%E -5.71%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -12.26%E -4.81%K -7.91%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-25 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -12.59%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.08%EV -15.86%E -7.05%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.28%EV -13.98%E -5.59%K -9.32%G +0.000%16.7%2026-02-25 19:44
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 28.21%EV -16.82%E -5.70%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.83%EV -17.73%E -8.06%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 33.97%EV -15.70%E -6.41%K -10.83%G +0.000%20.2%2026-02-25 19:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%0.6%2026-02-25 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%0.6%2026-02-25 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%0.6%2026-02-25 19:55
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%0.6%2026-02-25 19:55
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.34%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.19%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.48%2.3%2026-02-25 19:55