L’École des cotes

Gimnasia La Plata v Rosario Central

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-25 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gimnasia La Plata (Local)

Prévision 28.20%3.55cote équitable
EV -1.31%
Avantage -0.375%
Kelly -0.525%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.21%28.15%28.24%29.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.293.303.5033.90%30.42%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rosario Central (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.40%2.67cote équitable
EV +0.969%
Avantage +0.359%
Kelly +0.570%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.59%37.45%37.34%38.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.462.462.7045.45%40.66%40.57%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 34.41%2.91cote équitable
EV -3.66%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -2.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.64%34.39%34.42%36.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.682.702.8040.82%37.28%37.04%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -1.31%E -0.375%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%EV +0.969%E +0.359%K +0.570%G +0.006%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.96%EV -10.54%E -4.05%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 19:55
Pinnacle3.46I 28.90%NM 28.00%EV -2.44%E -0.705%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.40%EV -3.14%E -1.21%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.60%EV -3.66%E -1.31%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-25 19:55
DraftKings3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -5.54%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 19:55
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.95%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 19:45
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.95%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 19:44
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.54%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -8.82%E -3.33%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 19:54
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -1.31%E -0.375%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.79%EV -5.76%E -2.29%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.01%EV -6.41%E -2.36%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 18:05
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -1.31%E -0.375%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.79%EV -5.76%E -2.29%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.01%EV -6.41%E -2.36%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 18:04
BetAnything3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -1.31%E -0.375%K -0.525%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.79%EV -5.76%E -2.29%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.01%EV -6.41%E -2.36%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 18:05
Betsson3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.95%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.17%EV -5.76%E -2.29%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.44%EV -6.41%E -2.36%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 19:35
NordicBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.95%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.17%EV -5.76%E -2.29%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.44%EV -6.41%E -2.36%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 19:35
Marathon Bet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.11%EV -6.39%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.19%EV -6.14%E -2.44%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.70%EV -7.44%E -2.77%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 19:55
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.13%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 19:45
Everygame3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.13%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 19:34
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.95%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 19:42
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.77%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 19:44
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.36%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -8.82%E -3.33%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 19:45
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -4.13%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.24%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -3.66%E -1.31%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 19:35
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -4.13%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.24%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -3.66%E -1.31%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 19:30
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.13%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.13%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 19:45
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.13%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 19:45
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -6.95%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-25 19:44
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -9.77%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-25 17:10
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -11.18%E -3.55%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-25 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.54%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -9.13%E -3.76%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -5.38%E -1.96%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 19:30
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.95%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-25 16:34
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.77%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -8.82%E -3.33%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-25 19:35
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.77%E -3.05%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -9.85%E -3.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-25 19:44
Betclic (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -11.18%E -3.55%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -10.54%E -4.05%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-25 19:44
Parions Sport (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -12.59%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -12.26%E -4.81%K -7.91%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-25 19:44
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.36%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -11.00%E -4.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-25 19:54
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.36%E -2.57%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -11.00%E -4.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-25 19:55
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.59%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -11.00%E -4.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -9.51%E -3.62%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-25 19:44
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -15.41%E -5.14%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -12.12%E -5.16%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -10.54%E -4.05%K -6.59%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-25 19:45
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -12.59%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.62%EV -13.24%E -5.71%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -12.26%E -4.81%K -7.91%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-25 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -12.59%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.08%EV -15.86%E -7.05%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.28%EV -13.98%E -5.59%K -9.32%G +0.000%16.7%2026-02-25 19:44
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 28.21%EV -16.82%E -5.70%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.83%EV -17.73%E -8.06%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 33.97%EV -15.70%E -6.41%K -10.83%G +0.000%20.2%2026-02-25 19:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%0.6%2026-02-25 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%0.6%2026-02-25 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%0.6%2026-02-25 19:55
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%0.6%2026-02-25 19:55
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.34%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.19%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.48%2.3%2026-02-25 19:55