Language:English
Gimnasia La Plata v Independiente Rivadavia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gimnasia La Plata (Local)
Prediction 32.58%3.07fair odd
EV +2.29%
Edge +0.728%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.024%
assuming max odds 3.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.59%32.54%32.46%33.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.822.803.1440.00%35.50%35.71%31.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Independiente Rivadavia (Visit)
Prediction 36.07%2.77fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.563%
Kelly -0.888%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.88%36.10%36.18%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.562.602.7342.55%39.00%38.46%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.36%3.19fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -0.900%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.28%31.36%31.36%32.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.942.953.1037.74%33.97%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gimnasia La Plata (Local): 32.58%; Independiente Rivadavia (Visit): 36.07%; Draw: 31.36%. For Gimnasia La Plata (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.07. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.14, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.59%EV +2.29%E +0.728%K +1.07%G +0.024% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.82%EV -8.39%E -3.30%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.60%EV -4.67%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.07%EV -1.62%E -0.537%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -3.70%E -1.39%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.65%EV -4.05%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 18:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -2.27%E -0.758%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -13.44%E -5.60%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 18:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 18:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.06%EV -5.21%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.06%EV -8.75%E -3.01%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.88%EV -1.54%E -0.563%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 13:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.88%EV -1.54%E -0.563%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 17:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 17:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 18:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -9.06%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 18:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 18:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-15 17:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-15 18:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -2.62%E -0.970%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -4.36%E -1.43%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -2.62%E -0.970%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -4.36%E -1.43%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.96%EV -5.50%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -2.79%E -0.900%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 17:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 18:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -5.50%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -9.06%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 18:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.06%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 17:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 18:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 17:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 18:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -9.69%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 18:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -9.06%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-15 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -9.69%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-15 17:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-15 18:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.19%EV -14.16%E -5.95%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -15.33%E -5.68%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-15 18:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.67%EV -13.02%E -4.88%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.61%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.72%EV -13.77%E -5.01%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-15 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.68%E -5.16%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -9.06%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.13%EV -13.68%E -5.16%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -13.44%E -5.60%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -9.06%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-15 17:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.25%EV -18.56%E -7.42%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 35.38%EV -15.24%E -6.49%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.37%EV -16.90%E -6.38%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-03-15 18:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.99% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83% | 1.4% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83% | 1.4% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83% | 1.4% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.79% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.09% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.72% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.55% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.72% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |