La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Gimnasia La Plata v Independiente Rivadavia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gimnasia La Plata (Local)
Predicción 32.58%3.07momio equitativo
EV +2.29%
Ventaja +0.728%
Kelly +1.07%
Crecimiento +0.024%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.59%32.54%32.46%33.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.822.803.1440.00%35.50%35.71%31.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Independiente Rivadavia (Visitante)
Predicción 36.07%2.77momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -0.563%
Kelly -0.888%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.88%36.10%36.18%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.562.602.7342.55%39.00%38.46%36.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.36%3.19momio equitativo
EV -2.79%
Ventaja -0.900%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.28%31.36%31.36%32.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.942.953.1037.74%33.97%33.90%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.59%EV +2.29%E +0.728%K +1.07%G +0.024% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.82%EV -8.39%E -3.30%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.60%EV -4.67%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |
| Pinnacle | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.07%EV -1.62%E -0.537%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -3.70%E -1.39%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.65%EV -4.05%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 18:05 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -2.27%E -0.758%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -13.44%E -5.60%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 18:05 |
| Betsson | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 18:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.06%EV -5.21%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.06%EV -8.75%E -3.01%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.88%EV -1.54%E -0.563%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 13:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.88%EV -1.54%E -0.563%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 17:34 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 17:40 |
| BetAnything | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 18:04 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -9.06%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 18:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 18:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-15 17:40 |
| Bovada | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-15 18:04 |
| Unibet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -2.62%E -0.970%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -4.36%E -1.43%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -2.62%E -0.970%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -4.36%E -1.43%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-15 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.96%EV -5.50%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -2.79%E -0.900%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 17:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 18:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -5.50%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -9.06%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 18:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.06%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 17:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 18:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 17:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 18:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -9.69%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 18:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -9.06%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-15 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -9.69%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-15 17:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |
| Sky Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-15 18:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.19%EV -14.16%E -5.95%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -15.33%E -5.68%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-15 18:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.67%EV -13.02%E -4.88%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.61%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.72%EV -13.77%E -5.01%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-15 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.68%E -5.16%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -9.06%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.13%EV -13.68%E -5.16%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -13.44%E -5.60%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -9.06%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-15 17:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.25%EV -18.56%E -7.42%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 35.38%EV -15.24%E -6.49%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.37%EV -16.90%E -6.38%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-03-15 18:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.99% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83% | 1.4% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83% | 1.4% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83% | 1.4% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |
| Smarkets | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.79% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.09% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |
| Kalshi | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.72% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.55% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.72% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |