L’École des cotes

Gimnasia La Plata v Independiente Rivadavia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 18:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gimnasia La Plata (Local)

Prévision 32.58%3.07cote équitable
EV +2.29%
Avantage +0.728%
Kelly +1.07%
Croissance +0.024%

avec la cote maximale 3.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.59%32.54%32.46%33.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.822.803.1440.00%35.50%35.71%31.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Independiente Rivadavia (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.07%2.77cote équitable
EV -1.54%
Avantage -0.563%
Kelly -0.888%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.88%36.10%36.18%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.562.602.7342.55%39.00%38.46%36.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.36%3.19cote équitable
EV -2.79%
Avantage -0.900%
Kelly -1.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.28%31.36%31.36%32.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.942.953.1037.74%33.97%33.90%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.14I 31.85%NM 30.59%EV +2.29%E +0.728%K +1.07%G +0.024%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.82%EV -8.39%E -3.30%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.60%EV -4.67%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 18:10
Pinnacle3.02I 33.11%NM 32.07%EV -1.62%E -0.537%K -0.803%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -3.70%E -1.39%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.65%EV -4.05%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 18:05
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -2.27%E -0.758%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -13.44%E -5.60%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 18:10
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 18:05
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 18:05
Marathon Bet2.91I 34.36%NM 32.06%EV -5.21%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.06%EV -8.75%E -3.01%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 18:09
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.88%EV -1.54%E -0.563%K -0.888%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 13:39
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.88%EV -1.54%E -0.563%K -0.888%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 13:40
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 18:10
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 17:34
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 17:40
BetAnything2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 18:10
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 18:04
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -9.06%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 18:05
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 18:04
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 17:40
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 18:04
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -2.62%E -0.970%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -4.36%E -1.43%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 17:55
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -2.62%E -0.970%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -4.36%E -1.43%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.96%EV -5.50%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -2.79%E -0.900%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 17:40
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 18:00
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -5.50%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -9.06%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 18:05
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.06%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 18:10
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 17:35
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 18:05
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -5.93%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 17:40
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 18:05
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -9.69%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 18:05
Parions Sport (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -9.06%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-15 17:40
Betclic (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -9.69%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 17:49
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 18:10
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -7.50%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 18:10
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.20%E -4.36%K -6.78%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-15 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.19%EV -14.16%E -5.95%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -15.33%E -5.68%K -9.02%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-15 18:05
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 32.67%EV -13.02%E -4.88%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.61%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.72%EV -13.77%E -5.01%K -7.87%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-15 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.86%EV -13.68%E -5.16%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.19%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.94%EV -9.06%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 18:10
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.13%EV -13.68%E -5.16%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -13.44%E -5.60%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -9.06%E -3.13%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 17:40
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.25%EV -18.56%E -7.42%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.38%EV -15.24%E -6.49%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.37%EV -16.90%E -6.38%K -10.24%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-15 18:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50%0.9%2026-03-15 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83%1.4%2026-03-15 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83%1.4%2026-03-15 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83%1.4%2026-03-15 18:10
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.79%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.09%3.8%2026-03-15 18:10
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 31.72%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.55%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.72%4.0%2026-03-15 18:10