Language:English
Gimnasia La Plata v Barracas Central
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gimnasia La Plata (Local)
Prediction 50.67%1.97fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.94%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.55%50.77%50.59%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.811.821.9257.80%55.15%54.95%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Barracas Central (Visit)
Prediction 19.55%5.12fair odd
EV +1.64%
Edge +0.316%
Kelly +0.391%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 5.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.98%19.50%19.57%20.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.764.755.2023.26%21.01%21.05%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.78%3.36fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -0.707%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.30%29.73%29.85%30.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.123.103.2833.90%32.08%32.26%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gimnasia La Plata (Local): 50.67%; Barracas Central (Visit): 19.55%; Draw: 29.78%. For Barracas Central (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.12. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.64%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.81%EV -10.31%E -5.82%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +1.64%E +0.316%K +0.391%G +0.006% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.70%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 20:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.84%EV -4.23%E -2.24%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.84%EV -0.312%E -0.061%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.31%EV -5.60%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.49%EV -9.80%E -5.51%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -0.312%E -0.061%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.70%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 20:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.34%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 19.23%EV -1.88%E -0.374%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.43%EV -2.32%E -0.707%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-09 20:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.34%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 19.23%EV -1.88%E -0.374%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.43%EV -2.32%E -0.707%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-09 20:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.60%EV -7.27%E -3.97%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -2.27%E -0.453%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -4.70%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 16:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.19%EV -11.83%E -6.80%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -2.27%E -0.453%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.30%EV -2.62%E -0.801%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.37%EV -2.71%E -1.41%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.50%EV -3.05%E -0.615%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.13%EV -4.41%E -1.37%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.59%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.21%EV -3.24%E -0.655%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -6.19%E -1.97%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 20:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.59%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.21%EV -3.24%E -0.655%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -6.19%E -1.97%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 20:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -7.27%E -3.97%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -4.22%E -0.861%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -6.19%E -1.97%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 20:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -7.27%E -3.97%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -4.22%E -0.861%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -6.19%E -1.97%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 20:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.42%EV -5.24%E -2.80%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -6.19%E -1.97%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 20:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.18%EV -5.24%E -2.80%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.68%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 20:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.96%EV -7.27%E -3.97%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -6.19%E -1.97%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 20:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.55%EV -3.21%E -1.68%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV -7.15%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -7.68%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.35%EV -6.26%E -3.38%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.15%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.68%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.35%EV -6.26%E -3.38%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.15%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.68%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 20:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -8.79%E -4.88%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.15%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -4.70%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 20:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -8.79%E -4.88%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.15%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -4.70%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 17:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.85%EV -6.26%E -3.38%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -7.15%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.66%E -3.55%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -8.79%E -4.88%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -7.15%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.68%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 20:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.02%EV -12.34%E -7.13%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -7.15%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -7.68%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-09 17:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.02%EV -12.34%E -7.13%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -7.15%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -7.68%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-09 20:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.10%EV -5.75%E -3.09%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.04%EV -9.11%E -1.96%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -7.09%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.42%EV -11.83%E -6.80%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.24%EV -9.11%E -1.96%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.34%EV -9.17%E -3.01%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 20:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -7.27%E -3.97%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.68%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-09 20:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -7.78%E -4.27%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.68%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 20:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.21%EV -12.34%E -7.13%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -10.66%E -3.55%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.53%EV -10.31%E -5.82%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.66%EV -11.06%E -2.43%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -10.66%E -3.55%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 20:33 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.25%EV -8.79%E -4.88%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -9.17%E -3.01%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -11.32%E -6.47%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -10.66%E -3.55%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-09 20:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -11.32%E -6.47%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -10.66%E -3.55%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-09 20:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.84%EV -12.34%E -7.13%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.61%EV -11.55%E -3.89%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-09 20:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.74%EV -12.34%E -7.13%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -12.15%E -4.12%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-09 20:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -8.79%E -4.88%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -13.99%E -3.18%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -6.19%E -1.97%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 20:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.06%EV -9.80%E -5.51%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.72%EV -15.95%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -9.17%E -3.01%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-09 20:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.78% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.47% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.40% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.43% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.17% | 2.9% | 2026-08-09 20:35 |
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