默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Gimnasia La Plata v Barracas Central

开赛时间: 2026-08-09 20:45 UTC

最终结果: Gimnasia La Plata 2–0 Barracas Central

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

37 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Gimnasia La Plata (主队)

预测 50.67%1.97公平赔率
EV -2.71%
优势 -1.41%
Kelly -2.94%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.92

博彩公司预测分布
49.55%50.77%50.59%53.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.731.811.821.9257.80%55.15%54.95%52.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

Barracas Central (客队)

预测 19.55%5.12公平赔率
EV +1.64%
优势 +0.316%
Kelly +0.391%
增长率 +0.006%

假设最高赔率为 5.20

博彩公司预测分布
17.98%19.50%19.57%20.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.304.764.755.2023.26%21.01%21.05%19.23%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 29.78%3.36公平赔率
EV -2.32%
优势 -0.707%
Kelly -1.02%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.28

博彩公司预测分布
28.30%29.73%29.85%30.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.953.123.103.2833.90%32.08%32.26%30.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Gimnasia La Plata (主队):50.67%;Barracas Central (客队):19.55%;平局:29.78%。 对于“Barracas Central (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.12。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.20,对应+1.64%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.81%EV -10.31%E -5.82%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +1.64%E +0.316%K +0.391%G +0.006%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.70%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 20:39
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.84%EV -4.23%E -2.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.84%EV -0.312%E -0.061%K -0.076%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.31%EV -5.60%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 20:40
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.49%EV -9.80%E -5.51%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -0.312%E -0.061%K -0.076%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.70%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 20:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.34%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.23%EV -1.88%E -0.374%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.43%EV -2.32%E -0.707%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 20:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.34%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.23%EV -1.88%E -0.374%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.43%EV -2.32%E -0.707%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 20:35
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.60%EV -7.27%E -3.97%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -2.27%E -0.453%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -4.70%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 16:24
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.19%EV -11.83%E -6.80%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -2.27%E -0.453%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.30%EV -2.62%E -0.801%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 12:30
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.37%EV -2.71%E -1.41%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.50%EV -3.05%E -0.615%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.13%EV -4.41%E -1.37%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-09 20:40
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.59%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.21%EV -3.24%E -0.655%K -0.821%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -6.19%E -1.97%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 20:35
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.59%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.21%EV -3.24%E -0.655%K -0.821%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -6.19%E -1.97%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 20:34
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -7.27%E -3.97%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -4.22%E -0.861%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -6.19%E -1.97%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 20:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -7.27%E -3.97%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -4.22%E -0.861%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -6.19%E -1.97%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 20:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.42%EV -5.24%E -2.80%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -6.19%E -1.97%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 20:35
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.18%EV -5.24%E -2.80%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.68%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 20:35
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.96%EV -7.27%E -3.97%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -6.19%E -1.97%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 20:34
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.55%EV -3.21%E -1.68%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV -7.15%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -7.68%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 20:40
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.35%EV -6.26%E -3.38%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.15%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.68%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.35%EV -6.26%E -3.38%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.15%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.68%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 20:34
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -8.79%E -4.88%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.15%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -4.70%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 20:04
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -8.79%E -4.88%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.15%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -4.70%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 17:45
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.85%EV -6.26%E -3.38%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -7.15%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.66%E -3.55%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 20:40
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -8.79%E -4.88%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -7.15%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.68%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 20:30
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.02%EV -12.34%E -7.13%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -7.15%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -7.68%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.02%EV -12.34%E -7.13%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -7.15%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -7.68%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 20:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.10%EV -5.75%E -3.09%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.04%EV -9.11%E -1.96%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -7.09%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 20:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.42%EV -11.83%E -6.80%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.24%EV -9.11%E -1.96%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.34%EV -9.17%E -3.01%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 20:35
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -7.27%E -3.97%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.68%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 20:39
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -7.78%E -4.27%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.68%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 20:39
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.21%EV -12.34%E -7.13%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -10.66%E -3.55%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 20:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.53%EV -10.31%E -5.82%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.66%EV -11.06%E -2.43%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -10.66%E -3.55%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 20:33
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.25%EV -8.79%E -4.88%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -9.17%E -3.01%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 20:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -11.32%E -6.47%K -15.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -10.66%E -3.55%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-09 20:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -11.32%E -6.47%K -15.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -10.66%E -3.55%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-09 20:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.84%EV -12.34%E -7.13%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.61%EV -11.55%E -3.89%K -5.86%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-09 20:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.74%EV -12.34%E -7.13%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -12.15%E -4.12%K -6.23%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-09 20:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -8.79%E -4.88%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -13.99%E -3.18%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -6.19%E -1.97%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 20:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.06%EV -9.80%E -5.51%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.72%EV -15.95%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -9.17%E -3.01%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 20:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30%1.5%2026-08-09 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30%1.5%2026-08-09 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30%1.5%2026-08-09 20:40
Smarkets◎1.92I 52.08%NM 50.78%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.47%2.6%2026-08-09 20:40
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.40%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.43%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.17%2.9%2026-08-09 20:35