Idioma:Español
Gimnasia La Plata v Barracas Central
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gimnasia La Plata (Local)
Predicción 50.67%1.97momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -1.41%
Kelly -2.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.55%50.77%50.59%53.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.731.811.821.9257.80%55.15%54.95%52.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Barracas Central (Visitante)
Predicción 19.55%5.12momio equitativo
EV +1.64%
Ventaja +0.316%
Kelly +0.391%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.98%19.50%19.57%20.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.304.764.755.2023.26%21.01%21.05%19.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.78%3.36momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -0.707%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.30%29.73%29.85%30.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.953.123.103.2833.90%32.08%32.26%30.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Gimnasia La Plata (Local): 50.67%; Barracas Central (Visitante): 19.55%; Empate: 29.78%. Para Barracas Central (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.12. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.64%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.81%EV -10.31%E -5.82%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +1.64%E +0.316%K +0.391%G +0.006% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.70%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 20:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.84%EV -4.23%E -2.24%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.84%EV -0.312%E -0.061%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.31%EV -5.60%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.49%EV -9.80%E -5.51%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -0.312%E -0.061%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.70%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 20:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.34%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 19.23%EV -1.88%E -0.374%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.43%EV -2.32%E -0.707%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-09 20:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.34%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 19.23%EV -1.88%E -0.374%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.43%EV -2.32%E -0.707%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-09 20:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.60%EV -7.27%E -3.97%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -2.27%E -0.453%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -4.70%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 16:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.19%EV -11.83%E -6.80%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -2.27%E -0.453%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.30%EV -2.62%E -0.801%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-07 12:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.37%EV -2.71%E -1.41%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.50%EV -3.05%E -0.615%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.13%EV -4.41%E -1.37%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.59%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.21%EV -3.24%E -0.655%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -6.19%E -1.97%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 20:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.59%EV -4.73%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.21%EV -3.24%E -0.655%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -6.19%E -1.97%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 20:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -7.27%E -3.97%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -4.22%E -0.861%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -6.19%E -1.97%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 20:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -7.27%E -3.97%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -4.22%E -0.861%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -6.19%E -1.97%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 20:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.42%EV -5.24%E -2.80%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -6.19%E -1.97%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 20:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.18%EV -5.24%E -2.80%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.68%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 20:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.96%EV -7.27%E -3.97%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -6.18%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -6.19%E -1.97%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 20:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.55%EV -3.21%E -1.68%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV -7.15%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -7.68%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.35%EV -6.26%E -3.38%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.15%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.68%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.35%EV -6.26%E -3.38%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.15%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.68%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 20:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -8.79%E -4.88%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.15%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -4.70%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 20:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -8.79%E -4.88%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.15%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -4.70%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 17:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.85%EV -6.26%E -3.38%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -7.15%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.66%E -3.55%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -8.79%E -4.88%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -7.15%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.68%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 20:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.02%EV -12.34%E -7.13%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -7.15%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -7.68%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-09 17:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.02%EV -12.34%E -7.13%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -7.15%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -7.68%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-09 20:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.10%EV -5.75%E -3.09%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.04%EV -9.11%E -1.96%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -7.09%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.42%EV -11.83%E -6.80%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.24%EV -9.11%E -1.96%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.34%EV -9.17%E -3.01%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 20:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -7.27%E -3.97%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.68%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-09 20:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -7.78%E -4.27%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.68%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 20:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.21%EV -12.34%E -7.13%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -10.66%E -3.55%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.53%EV -10.31%E -5.82%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.66%EV -11.06%E -2.43%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -10.66%E -3.55%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 20:33 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.25%EV -8.79%E -4.88%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -9.17%E -3.01%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -11.32%E -6.47%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -10.66%E -3.55%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-09 20:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -11.32%E -6.47%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -10.66%E -3.55%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-09 20:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.84%EV -12.34%E -7.13%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.61%EV -11.55%E -3.89%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-09 20:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.74%EV -12.34%E -7.13%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -12.04%E -2.68%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -12.15%E -4.12%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-09 20:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -8.79%E -4.88%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -13.99%E -3.18%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -6.19%E -1.97%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 20:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.06%EV -9.80%E -5.51%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.72%EV -15.95%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -9.17%E -3.01%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-09 20:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.78% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.47% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.40% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.43% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.17% | 2.9% | 2026-08-09 20:35 |