Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.70
assuming max odds 5.84
assuming max odds 3.96
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gimnasia La Plata (Local): 56.75%; Banfield (Visit): 17.85%; Draw: 25.40%. For Banfield (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.60. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.84, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.24%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.66%E -2.77%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.84I 17.12%NM 16.47%EV +4.24%E +0.726%K +0.876%G +0.037% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.28%EV -7.03%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-19 17:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.16%EV -5.80%E -3.49%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.09%EV +0.848%E +0.150%K +0.182%G +0.002% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -0.936%E -0.240%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 17:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.16%EV -5.80%E -3.49%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.09%EV +0.848%E +0.150%K +0.182%G +0.002% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -0.936%E -0.240%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 17:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.16%EV -5.80%E -3.49%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.09%EV +0.848%E +0.150%K +0.182%G +0.002% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -0.936%E -0.240%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 17:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.14%EV -5.80%E -3.49%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.48%EV -1.47%E -0.267%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.37%EV +0.588%E +0.149%K +0.199%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -1.83%E -0.333%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -8.63%E -5.36%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -1.83%E -0.333%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -8.63%E -5.36%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.07%EV -2.72%E -0.499%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.14%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 17:23 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.66%E -2.77%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -3.61%E -0.669%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.66%E -2.77%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -3.61%E -0.669%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -7.50%E -4.60%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -3.61%E -0.669%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-19 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -6.36%E -3.86%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -3.48%E -0.915%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -6.36%E -3.86%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -5.23%E -3.13%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.61%EV -6.36%E -3.86%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -6.36%E -3.86%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.51%EV -7.50%E -4.60%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.54%EV -6.29%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -9.83%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.07%EV -4.66%E -2.77%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -7.18%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 17:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -6.93%E -4.23%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -7.18%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -4.75%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-19 17:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -3.53%E -2.07%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -3.53%E -2.07%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -8.63%E -5.36%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -3.48%E -0.915%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-19 17:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.87%EV -6.93%E -4.23%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.83%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-19 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.07%E -4.98%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-19 16:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.07%E -4.98%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-19 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -9.20%E -5.75%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -9.20%E -5.75%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-19 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -8.07%E -4.98%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.75%E -2.15%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-19 16:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.64%EV -12.04%E -7.77%K -21.89%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.92%EV -12.54%E -2.56%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -12.37%E -3.58%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-19 17:08 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.27%EV -11.47%E -7.35%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -12.54%E -2.56%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -13.64%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-19 17:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.85%EV -4.66%E -2.77%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -14.32%E -2.98%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -9.83%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-19 17:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.75%EV -10.34%E -6.54%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -14.32%E -2.98%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -9.20%E -5.75%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -14.32%E -2.98%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-19 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.77%EV -10.90%E -6.94%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.24%EV -14.32%E -2.98%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 25.98%EV -14.40%E -4.27%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-19 17:08 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.97%EV -7.50%E -4.60%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -16.11%E -3.43%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -12.37%E -3.58%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.97%EV -7.50%E -4.60%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -16.11%E -3.43%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -12.37%E -3.58%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.99%EV -9.20%E -5.75%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.13%EV -17.89%E -3.89%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -13.64%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 0.8% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 0.8% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.35% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 0.8% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-09-19 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.00% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28% | 1.4% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |